If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Südzucker (ETR:SZU) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Südzucker, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.048 = €307m ÷ (€8.3b - €1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2021).
So, Südzucker has an ROCE of 4.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Food industry average of 7.9%.
See our latest analysis for Südzucker
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Südzucker compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Südzucker.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Südzucker Tell Us?
Things have been pretty stable at Südzucker, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Südzucker doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. This probably explains why Südzucker is paying out 42% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
The Bottom Line
In a nutshell, Südzucker has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 46% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Südzucker that you might find interesting.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:SZU
Südzucker
Produces and sells sugar products in Germany, rest of the European Union, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally.
Undervalued established dividend payer.