Stock Analysis

Is KWS SAAT SE KGaA (ETR:KWS) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:KWS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA (ETR:KWS) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for KWS SAAT SE KGaA

How Much Debt Does KWS SAAT SE KGaA Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, KWS SAAT SE KGaA had €957.0m of debt, up from €907.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €242.9m, its net debt is less, at about €714.1m.

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XTRA:KWS Debt to Equity History May 7th 2023

How Healthy Is KWS SAAT SE KGaA's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KWS SAAT SE KGaA had liabilities of €916.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of €753.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €242.9m and €499.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €927.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

KWS SAAT SE KGaA has a market capitalization of €1.99b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

KWS SAAT SE KGaA has net debt to EBITDA of 2.7 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.1 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.7. Also relevant is that KWS SAAT SE KGaA has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 24% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KWS SAAT SE KGaA can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, KWS SAAT SE KGaA reported free cash flow worth 15% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis KWS SAAT SE KGaA's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little nervous about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about KWS SAAT SE KGaA's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with KWS SAAT SE KGaA .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KWS SAAT SE KGaA might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.