JDE Peet's Valuation

Is JDE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JDE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JDE (€18.43) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€48.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JDE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JDE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

JDE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.3x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JDE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JDE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.7x
SZU Südzucker
6.8x-5.9%€2.3b
SSH Südwestdeutsche Salzwerke
16.3xn/a€683.0m
NLM FRoSTA
12.2xn/a€412.2m
KWS KWS SAAT SE KGaA
11.5x0.6%€2.1b
JDE JDE Peet's
16.9x10.6%€9.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JDE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (11.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JDE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JDE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the European Food industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JDE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JDE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JDE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JDE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.43
€23.18
+25.8%
10.6%€28.50€19.00n/a12
Oct ’25€18.55
€23.18
+25.0%
10.6%€28.50€19.00n/a12
Sep ’25€20.70
€23.35
+12.8%
10.8%€28.50€19.00n/a12
Aug ’25€20.70
€22.57
+9.0%
10.5%€27.00€18.00n/a13
Jul ’25€18.90
€22.61
+19.7%
11.7%€27.00€18.00n/a13
Jun ’25€21.10
€23.38
+10.8%
13.1%€30.50€18.00n/a13
May ’25€20.82
€23.38
+12.3%
13.1%€30.50€18.00n/a13
Apr ’25€19.46
€23.52
+20.9%
12.4%€30.50€18.00n/a12
Mar ’25€21.10
€24.31
+15.2%
10.9%€30.50€21.00n/a12
Feb ’25€22.72
€26.73
+17.6%
13.3%€36.40€23.00n/a12
Jan ’25€24.38
€27.47
+12.7%
11.3%€36.40€24.00n/a12
Dec ’24€24.44
€27.94
+14.3%
11.3%€36.40€24.00n/a12
Nov ’24€26.38
€28.43
+7.8%
10.6%€36.40€25.00n/a11
Oct ’24€26.42
€28.18
+6.7%
10.7%€36.40€25.00€18.5512
Sep ’24€25.56
€28.42
+11.2%
10.8%€36.40€25.00€20.7013
Aug ’24€27.22
€29.87
+9.7%
13.2%€37.26€25.00€20.7013
Jul ’24€27.26
€30.36
+11.4%
12.6%€37.26€25.00€18.9013
Jun ’24€27.50
€30.66
+11.5%
12.8%€38.41€25.00€21.1013
May ’24€27.62
€30.97
+12.1%
13.6%€38.41€25.00€20.8213
Apr ’24€26.60
€30.97
+16.4%
13.6%€38.41€25.00€19.4613
Mar ’24€27.48
€30.79
+12.1%
13.3%€38.41€25.00€21.1014
Feb ’24€27.76
€31.48
+13.4%
18.4%€46.47€24.85€22.7214
Jan ’24€27.16
€32.23
+18.7%
17.6%€46.47€25.00€24.3814
Dec ’23€28.62
€32.24
+12.7%
17.4%€46.47€25.00€24.4413
Nov ’23€29.02
€32.80
+13.0%
15.7%€46.47€25.00€26.3814
Oct ’23€29.94
€32.80
+9.5%
15.7%€46.47€25.00€26.4214

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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