Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited

DB:YZCA Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.6b

Yankuang Energy Group Valuation

Is YZCA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YZCA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YZCA (€1.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YZCA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YZCA?

Key metric: As YZCA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YZCA. This is calculated by dividing YZCA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YZCA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.5x
EarningsCN¥15.92b
Market CapCN¥126.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YZCA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YZCA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.3x
ETG EnviTec Biogas
8.8xn/a€439.6m
1898 China Coal Energy
7x1.9%HK$168.3b
CE2 CropEnergies
82.4xn/a€1.2b
601225 Shaanxi Coal Industry
11x4.6%CN¥231.3b
YZCA Yankuang Energy Group
5.5x-5.6%€136.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YZCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (27.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YZCA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YZCA 5.5xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YZCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YZCA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YZCA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YZCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YZCA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.12
€1.42
+26.5%
28.2%€2.17€0.94n/a8
Nov ’25€1.22
€1.42
+16.6%
28.2%€2.17€0.94n/a8
Oct ’25€1.22
€1.47
+19.8%
24.1%€2.13€0.93n/a8
Sep ’25€1.15
€1.60
+39.0%
26.9%€2.11€0.76n/a9
Aug ’25€1.15
€1.63
+41.3%
26.0%€2.13€0.77n/a9
Jul ’25€1.36
€1.57
+15.6%
24.4%€2.16€0.78n/a13
Jun ’25€1.75
€1.55
-11.2%
20.8%€2.08€0.99n/a13
May ’25€1.53
€1.50
-1.9%
19.3%€2.11€1.01n/a13
Apr ’25€1.47
€1.50
+1.9%
18.9%€2.10€1.01n/a13
Mar ’25€1.63
€1.44
-11.7%
14.2%€1.82€1.10n/a13
Feb ’25€1.44
€1.39
-3.2%
18.4%€1.81€0.83n/a13
Jan ’25€1.28
€1.31
+3.1%
17.4%€1.63€0.81n/a13
Dec ’24€1.28
€1.33
+3.7%
17.7%€1.65€0.83n/a12
Nov ’24€1.24
€1.32
+6.8%
17.9%€1.65€0.83€1.2211
Oct ’24€1.35
€1.33
-1.2%
22.9%€2.06€0.83€1.2211
Sep ’24€1.10
€1.32
+20.2%
25.1%€2.00€0.81€1.1512
Aug ’24€1.02
€1.50
+48.1%
20.8%€2.00€0.89€1.1512
Jul ’24€1.33
€1.52
+13.8%
20.5%€2.03€0.97€1.3612
Jun ’24€1.19
€1.59
+33.9%
19.7%€2.09€0.99€1.7513
May ’24€1.55
€1.65
+6.6%
23.7%€2.41€1.00€1.5314
Apr ’24€1.65
€1.66
+0.7%
24.4%€2.44€1.01€1.4714
Mar ’24€1.43
€1.76
+23.0%
25.8%€2.50€1.03€1.6313
Feb ’24€1.50
€1.83
+22.4%
25.5%€2.48€1.02€1.4413
Jan ’24€1.45
€1.99
+37.2%
26.1%€3.17€1.31€1.2813
Dec ’23€1.57
€2.00
+27.4%
25.9%€3.19€1.34€1.2813
Nov ’23€1.50
€2.01
+34.3%
29.4%€3.27€0.89€1.2413

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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