Woodside Energy Group Ltd

DB:WOP0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €26.8b

Woodside Energy Group Valuation

Is WOP0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WOP0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€36.28
Fair Value
60.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: WOP0 (€14.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€36.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WOP0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WOP0?

Key metric: As WOP0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WOP0. This is calculated by dividing WOP0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WOP0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.1x
EarningsUS$1.86b
Market CapUS$28.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WOP0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WOP0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.2x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
3.2x-9.6%€190.9m
VG Venture Global
60.7x-16.8%US$37.2b
TPL Texas Pacific Land
68.1xn/aUS$30.9b
CTRA Coterra Energy
16.8x25.4%US$20.7b
WOP0 Woodside Energy Group
15.1x-4.9%€44.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WOP0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (37.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WOP0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WOP0 15.1xIndustry Avg. 8.8xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WOP0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WOP0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WOP0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WOP0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WOP0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.23
€17.00
+19.5%
14.7%€24.90€13.41n/a15
Feb ’26€14.82
€17.35
+17.1%
15.4%€24.93€13.84n/a14
Jan ’26€14.35
€17.94
+25.0%
14.6%€24.09€12.95n/a14
Dec ’25€14.88
€18.31
+23.0%
13.7%€24.75€14.61n/a14
Nov ’25€14.35
€18.27
+27.3%
16.9%€27.72€14.17n/a14
Oct ’25€16.09
€18.46
+14.7%
15.6%€27.32€14.26n/a15
Sep ’25€16.52
€18.92
+14.5%
14.9%€27.54€15.31n/a15
Aug ’25€16.40
€19.94
+21.6%
12.9%€27.45€17.08n/a15
Jul ’25€17.51
€20.07
+14.6%
13.9%€27.04€14.42n/a15
Jun ’25€16.78
€19.67
+17.3%
14.0%€26.77€14.28n/a15
May ’25€16.86
€19.79
+17.4%
14.1%€26.96€14.38n/a15
Apr ’25€18.50
€19.95
+7.8%
14.1%€27.32€14.52n/a15
Mar ’25€18.50
€19.84
+7.2%
13.3%€27.20€15.58n/a15
Feb ’25€19.38
€20.86
+7.6%
12.8%€27.37€17.04€14.8211
Jan ’25€18.96
€20.68
+9.1%
13.9%€27.09€16.03€14.3513
Dec ’24€18.80
€20.91
+11.2%
12.4%€26.06€15.65€14.8815
Nov ’24€21.05
€22.25
+5.7%
10.3%€26.99€18.84€14.3515
Oct ’24€22.10
€23.17
+4.8%
10.3%€28.77€20.01€16.0916
Sep ’24€22.80
€22.64
-0.7%
10.5%€28.13€19.56€16.5217
Aug ’24€22.90
€22.80
-0.4%
11.0%€27.62€19.02€16.4017
Jul ’24€21.15
€22.96
+8.6%
10.1%€27.85€19.84€17.5117
Jun ’24€21.35
€23.12
+8.3%
11.0%€28.33€19.83€16.7817
May ’24€20.45
€22.38
+9.4%
11.4%€27.58€18.19€16.8617
Apr ’24€20.60
€23.63
+14.7%
10.6%€28.91€20.72€18.5017
Mar ’24€23.15
€24.49
+5.8%
9.8%€29.64€21.36€18.5017
Feb ’24€23.30
€24.86
+6.7%
8.3%€28.86€21.75€19.3817
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
€17.14
Fair Value
17.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/22 20:52
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is covered by 24 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Johan HedstromBell Potter
Matt ChalmersBofA Global Research