Whitehaven Coal Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Whitehaven Coal is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.8% and 12.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 18.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

17.8%

Earnings growth rate

18.2%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	6.5%
Revenue growth rate	12.3%
Future return on equity	10.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:WC2 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	6,450	667	1,089	1,348	8
6/30/2026	6,433	758	1,066	1,404	9
6/30/2025	6,355	398	876	1,241	9
6/30/2024	3,830	355	-127	327	N/A
3/31/2024	3,840	749	104	488	N/A
12/31/2023	3,850	1,144	356	671	N/A
9/30/2023	4,961	1,906	1,841	2,127	N/A
6/30/2023	6,073	2,668	3,304	3,562	N/A
3/31/2023	6,685	3,031	3,830	4,059	N/A
12/31/2022	7,297	3,393	4,356	4,557	N/A
9/30/2022	6,112	2,673	3,364	3,543	N/A
6/30/2022	4,927	1,952	2,372	2,530	N/A
3/31/2022	3,617	922	1,443	1,576	N/A
12/31/2021	2,307	-109	515	622	N/A
9/30/2021	1,936	-326	281	380	N/A
6/30/2021	1,564	-544	48	139	N/A
3/31/2021	1,552	-318	-19	120	N/A
12/31/2020	1,540	-92	-87	100	N/A
9/30/2020	1,632	-31	-94	123	N/A
6/30/2020	1,725	30	-102	146	N/A
3/31/2020	1,916	140	112	353	N/A
12/31/2019	2,106	249	326	560	N/A
9/30/2019	2,299	389	526	738	N/A
6/30/2019	2,492	528	726	916	N/A
3/31/2019	2,439	551	617	915	N/A
12/31/2018	2,386	574	508	914	N/A
9/30/2018	2,325	549	517	903	N/A
6/30/2018	2,264	525	527	892	N/A
3/31/2018	2,184	515	N/A	845	N/A
12/31/2017	2,104	505	N/A	797	N/A
9/30/2017	1,942	456	N/A	702	N/A
6/30/2017	1,781	406	N/A	608	N/A
3/31/2017	1,601	288	N/A	483	N/A
12/31/2016	1,422	170	N/A	359	N/A
9/30/2016	1,297	95	N/A	265	N/A
6/30/2016	1,173	20	N/A	172	N/A
3/31/2016	1,073	-112	N/A	167	N/A
12/31/2015	973	-245	N/A	162	N/A
9/30/2015	874	-288	N/A	158	N/A
6/30/2015	774	-331	N/A	154	N/A
3/31/2015	752	-218	N/A	124	N/A
12/31/2014	729	-105	N/A	94	N/A
9/30/2014	742	-71	N/A	101	N/A
6/30/2014	755	-38	N/A	109	N/A
3/31/2014	751	-45	N/A	123	N/A
12/31/2013	747	-52	N/A	138	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WC2's forecast earnings growth (17.8% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: WC2's earnings (17.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (20.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WC2's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: WC2's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WC2's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WC2's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).

Whitehaven Coal Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Whitehaven Coal Limited Reaffirms Group Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2025

Whitehaven Coal Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Whitehaven Coal Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Whitehaven Coal Limited Provides Production and Sales Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

Whitehaven Coal Limited Updates Production Guidance for Fiscal 2021

Recent updates

Whitehaven Coal Limited Reaffirms Group Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2025

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Whitehaven Coal Limited Announces Fully Franked Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on September 17, 2024

Final dividend of AU$0.13 announced

JFE Steel Corporation agreed to acquire 10% stake in Blackwater Coal Mine In Australia from Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX:WHC) for $360 million.

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Nippon Steel Australia Pty Limited agreed to acquire 20% stake in Blackwater Coal Mine In Australia from Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX:WHC) for $720 million.

Glencore Reportedly Eyes Anglo Coal Assets

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Anglo American Reportedly Sets Up for AUD 7.5 Billion Coal Exit

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX:WHC) completed the acquisition of Metallurgical Coal Assets in Australia from Mitsubishi Development Pty Ltd and BHP Group Limited (ASX : BHP).

Deal Close on Whitehaven's Blackwater Mine Sell Down

First half dividend of AU$0.07 announced

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.32 (vs AU$1.99 in 1H 2023)

New major risk - Earnings quality

Whitehaven Coal Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 24, 2024

Now 20% undervalued

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX:WHC) agreed to acquire Metallurgical Coal Assets in Australia from Mitsubishi Development Pty Ltd and BHP Group Limited (ASX : BHP) for $4.1 billion.

New minor risk - Share price stability

Whitehaven Coal Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 15, 2024

Whitehaven Coal Receives a Shareholder Proposal from Market Forces

Whitehaven Reportedly Leads the Way in Auction for BHP Coal Mines

Whitehaven Coal Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$3.08 (vs AU$1.98 in FY 2022)

Daunia Mine Reportedly Bid Possible Without Whitehaven Equity Raising

New minor risk - Share price stability

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought €54k worth of stock

Non-Executive Director recently bought €648k worth of stock

Whitehaven Coal Limited Appoints Wallis Graham as Independent Non-Executive Director

Whitehaven Coal Limited Announces Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 10 March 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.99 (vs AU$0.34 in 1H 2022)

Whitehaven Coal Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 26, 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold €134k worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued

MD, CEO & Director recently sold €5.1m worth of stock

Non-Executive Director recently bought €800k worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Whitehaven Coal Limited Revises Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Whitehaven Coal Limited Announces Board Changes

Now 21% undervalued

Whitehaven Coal Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 16, 2023

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Key Executive recently bought €1.5m worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.98 (vs AU$0.55 loss in FY 2021)

John Conde AO Not to Stand for Re-Election as Deputy Chairman and Non-Executive Director of Whitehaven Coal Limited

Now 23% undervalued

Insufficient new directors

Now 22% undervalued

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Whitehaven Coal Limited Announces Unfranked Distribution for the Six Months Period Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on March 11, 2022

Insider recently sold €21m worth of stock

Non-Executive Director recently bought €339k worth of stock

Insider recently sold €14m worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings released: AU$0.55 loss per share (vs AU$0.03 profit in FY 2020)

Whitehaven Coal Limited Provides Production and Sales Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2022

Whitehaven Coal Limited Updates Production Guidance for Fiscal 2021

Whitehaven Coal Limited Announces Federal Court Judgment - Vickery Extension Project

Non-Executive Director recently bought €707k worth of stock

MD, CEO & Director recently sold €1.1m worth of stock

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity