Secure Energy Services Inc.

DB:SEP Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.2b

Secure Energy Services Valuation

Is SEP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SEP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SEP (€7.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€10.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SEP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SEP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SEP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.5x
PEG Ratio-0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SEP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SEP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
VBK Verbio
24.1x43.1%€1.3b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.6x-7.5%€1.0b
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions
24.4x43.0%US$2.6b
SEP Secure Energy Services
5.7x-23.2%€3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SEP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Energy Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the European Energy Services industry average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SEP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SEP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ratio10.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SEP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.90
€9.23
+16.9%
5.2%€9.92€8.21n/a9
Apr ’25€7.50
€8.51
+13.4%
7.4%€9.51€7.47n/a9
Mar ’25€7.65
€8.53
+11.5%
7.4%€9.53€7.49n/a9
Feb ’25€7.10
€8.05
+13.4%
7.4%€8.95€7.23n/a9
Jan ’25€6.30
€7.41
+17.5%
8.8%€8.51€6.47n/a8
Dec ’24€5.40
€6.43
+19.0%
7.4%€7.20€5.83n/a8
Nov ’24€5.25
€6.31
+20.3%
8.5%€7.17€5.46n/a8
Oct ’24€5.15
€6.21
+20.6%
10.8%€7.19€5.14n/a8
Sep ’24€5.25
€5.99
+14.1%
11.0%€7.14€5.10n/a8
Aug ’24€4.76
€6.05
+27.1%
10.0%€7.20€5.14n/a10
Jul ’24€4.36
€5.97
+36.8%
11.4%€7.27€4.85n/a11
Jun ’24€4.12
€5.89
+43.0%
12.2%€7.11€4.74n/a11
May ’24€4.10
€5.89
+43.7%
12.2%€7.11€4.74n/a11
Apr ’24€4.20
€6.06
+44.2%
14.9%€7.82€4.76€7.5011
Mar ’24€5.85
€7.24
+23.8%
8.3%€8.30€5.88€7.6511
Feb ’24€5.45
€7.24
+32.9%
8.3%€8.30€5.88€7.1011
Jan ’24€4.70
€7.50
+59.6%
9.5%€8.72€6.18€6.3011
Dec ’23€5.10
€7.50
+47.1%
9.5%€8.72€6.18€5.4011
Nov ’23€5.30
€6.95
+31.1%
8.6%€8.14€6.29€5.2511
Oct ’23€4.24
€6.88
+62.3%
6.8%€7.67€6.13€5.1511
Sep ’23€4.10
€6.88
+67.9%
6.8%€7.67€6.13€5.2511
Aug ’23€4.98
€6.96
+39.8%
6.9%€7.66€6.13€4.7611
Jul ’23€4.36
€6.56
+50.6%
6.4%€7.17€5.88€4.3611
Jun ’23€5.45
€6.56
+20.4%
6.1%€7.18€5.89€4.1211
May ’23€4.78
€6.51
+36.2%
5.6%€7.01€5.90€4.1011
Apr ’23€3.98
€5.87
+47.5%
5.1%€6.15€5.43€4.2011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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