MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság

DB:MOGB Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.6b

MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság Valuation

Is MOGB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOGB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MOGB (€7.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOGB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOGB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MOGB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.6x
PEG Ratio-2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MOGB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MOGB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.6x
VBK Verbio
65.7x65.1%€1.3b
CE2 CropEnergies
16.6x-7.5%€1.1b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
ETG EnviTec Biogas
8.9xn/a€519.8m
MOGB MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság
3.9x-1.9%€1.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOGB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (26.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOGB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOGB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOGB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOGB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.9x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MOGB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MOGB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.19
€9.06
+26.0%
8.9%€10.36€7.53n/a8
May ’25€7.89
€8.58
+8.8%
14.6%€10.14€6.22n/a7
Apr ’25€7.22
€8.58
+18.9%
14.6%€10.14€6.22n/a7
Mar ’25€7.40
€8.28
+11.9%
16.7%€10.44€6.26n/a8
Feb ’25€7.80
€8.48
+8.8%
15.7%€10.79€6.47n/a9
Jan ’25€7.21
€8.48
+17.7%
15.7%€10.79€6.47n/a9
Dec ’24€7.13
€8.48
+18.9%
15.7%€10.79€6.47n/a9
Nov ’24€7.39
€8.33
+12.7%
20.7%€12.12€6.06n/a9
Oct ’24€7.05
€8.08
+14.6%
16.6%€10.72€6.00n/a10
Sep ’24€7.16
€8.43
+17.8%
15.1%€10.98€6.15n/a9
Aug ’24€7.00
€8.41
+20.1%
15.3%€11.14€6.23n/a10
Jul ’24€7.88
€8.68
+10.1%
14.3%€10.93€6.36n/a11
Jun ’24€7.42
€8.73
+17.6%
13.0%€10.92€7.04n/a11
May ’24€7.50
€8.67
+15.6%
13.4%€10.70€6.90€7.8911
Apr ’24€6.42
€8.58
+33.8%
13.2%€10.62€6.84€7.2211
Mar ’24€7.02
€8.79
+25.4%
14.4%€11.26€6.99€7.4011
Feb ’24€7.06
€8.21
+16.4%
14.6%€10.59€6.58€7.8011
Jan ’24€6.42
€8.21
+27.8%
14.3%€10.43€6.47€7.2110
Dec ’23€6.73
€8.04
+19.5%
14.4%€10.19€6.33€7.1310
Nov ’23€5.92
€7.91
+33.7%
13.4%€10.15€6.30€7.3910
Oct ’23€5.40
€8.47
+56.9%
18.1%€11.53€6.50€7.059
Sep ’23€6.69
€8.60
+28.5%
16.9%€11.71€6.97€7.1610
Aug ’23€7.02
€8.54
+21.6%
17.7%€12.30€6.87€7.0010
Jul ’23€7.17
€8.54
+19.1%
12.7%€10.75€7.10€7.8810
Jun ’23€6.52
€8.42
+29.1%
14.0%€10.73€7.08€7.429
May ’23€7.93
€8.94
+12.8%
14.0%€11.22€7.41€7.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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