Equinor Valuation

Is DNQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DNQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DNQ (€25.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€14.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DNQ is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DNQ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DNQ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA1.8x
PEG Ratio-1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DNQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DNQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
OXY Occidental Petroleum
15.3x17.7%US$57.1b
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.3x5.3%HK$780.0b
PETR4 Petróleo Brasileiro - Petrobras
4.4x-5.4%R$560.4b
7x-6.3%UK£84.7b
DNQ Equinor
8.3x-5.7%€874.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DNQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DNQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.08%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.08%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DNQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (7.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DNQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DNQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DNQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DNQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.38
€25.60
+0.9%
18.4%€42.56€17.88n/a23
Apr ’25€24.96
€25.59
+2.5%
19.1%€44.03€18.53n/a23
Mar ’25€23.36
€25.95
+11.1%
18.9%€43.61€18.15n/a24
Feb ’25€26.62
€29.56
+11.1%
17.8%€44.68€21.21n/a24
Jan ’25€28.80
€29.91
+3.9%
15.3%€40.69€22.04n/a23
Dec ’24€29.24
€30.07
+2.8%
16.1%€41.13€20.81n/a23
Nov ’24€31.61
€30.11
-4.7%
16.3%€42.30€21.40n/a23
Oct ’24€31.21
€30.80
-1.3%
16.7%€46.45€23.38n/a23
Sep ’24€29.27
€30.44
+4.0%
16.5%€45.58€22.94n/a24
Aug ’24€27.90
€30.54
+9.5%
16.8%€44.97€22.64n/a25
Jul ’24€26.67
€30.09
+12.8%
15.1%€42.85€22.68n/a25
Jun ’24€24.08
€30.91
+28.4%
14.7%€43.63€23.09n/a25
May ’24€25.93
€30.28
+16.8%
14.4%€43.56€23.10€25.4125
Apr ’24€26.39
€32.26
+22.3%
15.3%€44.41€24.31€24.9625
Mar ’24€28.67
€33.82
+18.0%
14.5%€45.66€24.99€23.3625
Feb ’24€27.70
€33.64
+21.4%
18.4%€45.53€23.95€26.6224
Jan ’24€33.62
€36.38
+8.2%
14.9%€45.57€24.20€28.8024
Dec ’23€36.68
€36.38
-0.8%
15.6%€45.88€24.37€29.2424
Nov ’23€37.75
€38.13
+1.0%
16.6%€48.89€25.38€31.6124
Oct ’23€34.10
€38.42
+12.7%
16.6%€52.65€25.76€31.2123
Sep ’23€38.52
€37.99
-1.4%
17.7%€54.08€25.38€29.2724
Aug ’23€36.90
€34.41
-6.7%
16.4%€44.33€18.55€27.9024
Jul ’23€32.45
€33.46
+3.1%
16.6%€42.87€18.90€26.6724
Jun ’23€34.73
€32.08
-7.6%
17.1%€41.65€18.36€24.0823
May ’23€32.70
€32.80
+0.3%
18.6%€45.80€19.25€25.9323

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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