Matador Resources Valuation

Is 7MR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7MR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7MR (€56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€131.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7MR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7MR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

7MR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.7x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7MR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7MR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.3x
DR0 Deutsche Rohstoff
3x-3.2%€194.9m
VBK Verbio
60x69.5%€1.2b
CE2 CropEnergies
15.3x-7.5%€1.0b
CE2 CropEnergies
78.9xn/a€1.1b
7MR Matador Resources
8.3x11.0%€7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7MR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (39.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7MR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7MR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7MR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7MR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7MR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7MR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€56.00
€73.79
+31.8%
9.0%€84.36€57.47n/a15
Jun ’25€57.00
€72.37
+27.0%
9.3%€83.43€57.47n/a14
May ’25€61.50
€72.42
+17.8%
8.9%€83.94€57.83n/a15
Apr ’25€60.12
€67.80
+12.8%
7.6%€77.87€57.47n/a14
Mar ’25€58.22
€65.15
+11.9%
9.0%€77.62€57.29n/a14
Feb ’25€50.62
€65.31
+29.0%
8.6%€77.50€57.20n/a14
Jan ’25€51.74
€68.52
+32.4%
6.2%€75.61€59.22n/a14
Dec ’24€52.84
€70.00
+32.5%
6.3%€79.98€64.35n/a14
Nov ’24€58.62
€72.16
+23.1%
6.1%€81.95€65.93n/a13
Oct ’24€57.18
€67.96
+18.9%
9.3%€81.42€58.03n/a13
Sep ’24€58.38
€66.00
+13.1%
10.0%€80.01€57.02n/a13
Aug ’24€50.02
€63.08
+26.1%
8.9%€73.48€56.24n/a13
Jul ’24€47.35
€63.35
+33.8%
9.2%€74.04€54.85€55.0013
Jun ’24€40.78
€64.58
+58.4%
8.8%€74.97€55.54€57.0013
May ’24€42.69
€63.93
+49.8%
8.2%€73.41€55.28€61.5013
Apr ’24€43.40
€66.35
+52.9%
7.8%€75.05€60.22€60.1213
Mar ’24€50.50
€69.03
+36.7%
10.2%€88.61€61.28€58.2213
Feb ’24€60.50
€67.71
+11.9%
8.0%€81.93€60.99€50.6213
Jan ’24€53.50
€68.44
+27.9%
11.0%€84.66€53.62€51.7412
Dec ’23€63.00
€71.78
+13.9%
13.9%€92.29€54.80€52.8412
Nov ’23€67.00
€74.08
+10.6%
14.6%€96.32€57.19€58.6212
Oct ’23€49.60
€76.71
+54.7%
14.4%€99.74€62.34€57.1812
Sep ’23€59.00
€76.03
+28.9%
14.3%€95.58€62.72€58.3811
Aug ’23€56.00
€73.87
+31.9%
14.9%€93.98€61.68€50.0211
Jul ’23€43.80
€72.00
+64.4%
11.8%€85.55€60.83€47.3512

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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