Stock Analysis

Is Daldrup & Söhne (ETR:4DS) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:4DS
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Daldrup & Söhne Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:4DS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Daldrup & Söhne

What Is Daldrup & Söhne's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Daldrup & Söhne had €7.74m of debt in December 2020, down from €8.75m, one year before. However, it also had €3.02m in cash, and so its net debt is €4.71m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:4DS Debt to Equity History June 6th 2021

A Look At Daldrup & Söhne's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Daldrup & Söhne had liabilities of €5.24m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €15.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €3.02m in cash and €4.02m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €13.2m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Daldrup & Söhne has a market capitalization of €26.7m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Daldrup & Söhne's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.1 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.5 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. We also note that Daldrup & Söhne improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive €1.9m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Daldrup & Söhne's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. In the last year, Daldrup & Söhne's free cash flow amounted to 46% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Daldrup & Söhne's interest cover and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But it seems to be able handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, without much trouble. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Daldrup & Söhne is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Daldrup & Söhne , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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