AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE & Co. KGaA

HMSE:AR4 Stock Report

Market Cap: €389.6m

AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA Valuation

Is AR4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AR4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AR4 (€14.56) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AR4 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AR4?

Key metric: As AR4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AR4. This is calculated by dividing AR4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AR4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.8x
Earnings€101.10m
Market Cap€389.57m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AR4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AR4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
24x54.1%€413.9m
O4B OVB Holding
15.2x3.5%€280.8m
MLP MLP
10.1x7.8%€649.2m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%€197.4m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.8xn/a€389.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AR4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AR4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.20.6x9.2%
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.8xn/aUS$408.35m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%US$206.94m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.9xn/aUS$24.63m
AR4 3.8xIndustry Avg. 20.6xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.20.6x9.2%
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.8xn/aUS$408.35m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AR4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AR4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AR4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AR4's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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