State Street Valuation

Is ZYA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZYA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZYA (€68.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€131.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZYA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZYA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ZYA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZYA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZYA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.4x
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
14.4x13.1%€8.1b
MLP MLP
12.4x10.3%€603.6m
MUX Mutares SE KGaA
2.2x-148.3%€870.8m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
8.7x25.0%€508.4m
ZYA State Street
12.9x10.4%€22.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZYA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZYA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZYA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZYA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.9x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZYA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZYA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€68.30
€80.44
+17.8%
9.5%€95.75€65.33n/a16
Apr ’25€70.18
€78.68
+12.1%
10.3%€94.96€64.80n/a16
Mar ’25€68.14
€77.74
+14.1%
9.4%€94.13€64.23n/a17
Feb ’25€68.28
€77.65
+13.7%
9.7%€94.07€64.19n/a16
Jan ’25€70.12
€69.14
-1.4%
7.2%€79.07€61.81n/a17
Dec ’24€66.66
€68.43
+2.7%
7.3%€80.00€62.53n/a17
Nov ’24€61.04
€70.36
+15.3%
7.5%€82.34€64.36n/a16
Oct ’24€63.36
€71.11
+12.2%
7.5%€82.32€62.45n/a16
Sep ’24€63.36
€69.19
+9.2%
7.5%€79.85€59.66n/a17
Aug ’24€65.70
€68.17
+3.8%
7.5%€78.65€57.86n/a17
Jul ’24€66.52
€77.24
+16.1%
9.7%€91.64€63.23n/a16
Jun ’24€63.62
€77.87
+22.4%
10.0%€92.94€63.20n/a16
May ’24€64.42
€77.36
+20.1%
9.3%€91.28€62.07n/a16
Apr ’24€68.08
€86.57
+27.2%
10.1%€106.94€71.91€70.1816
Mar ’24€83.52
€90.06
+7.8%
8.1%€109.35€79.19€68.1416
Feb ’24€83.63
€85.40
+2.1%
8.5%€105.59€76.47€68.2816
Jan ’24€72.82
€79.46
+9.1%
7.5%€89.57€67.88€70.1214
Dec ’23€75.97
€78.17
+2.9%
8.0%€90.25€68.40€66.6614
Nov ’23€74.63
€80.35
+7.7%
11.2%€97.24€67.56€61.0414
Oct ’23€61.93
€85.25
+37.6%
11.2%€106.31€72.96€63.3614
Sep ’23€67.78
€81.33
+20.0%
10.8%€101.08€70.36€63.3614
Aug ’23€69.08
€78.98
+14.3%
11.4%€99.96€65.66€65.7016
Jul ’23€58.23
€83.68
+43.7%
16.9%€110.30€64.26€66.5216
Jun ’23€67.75
€88.36
+30.4%
12.1%€108.61€73.66€63.6216
May ’23€65.27
€91.42
+40.1%
10.5%€108.95€77.69€64.4216
Apr ’23€78.68
€101.42
+28.9%
9.8%€117.72€83.31€68.0816

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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