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Mattioli Woods Valuation

Is M5L undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M5L when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€1.47
Fair Value
530.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: M5L (€9.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M5L is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M5L?

Key metric: As M5L is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for M5L. This is calculated by dividing M5L's market cap by their current earnings.
What is M5L's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.5x
EarningsUK£9.91m
Market CapUK£431.25m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M5L's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M5L vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
MLP MLP
10.8x7.8%€696.2m
B8A BAVARIA Industries Group
20.7xn/a€415.8m
AR40 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
n/an/a€339.8m
O4B OVB Holding
15.3x3.5%€280.8m
M5L Mattioli Woods
43.5x26.7%€431.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M5L is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M5L's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-19.3%US$201.53m
SPT6 Sparta
2.6xn/aUS$173.50m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.59m
No more companies available in this PE range
M5L 43.5xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M5L is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (26.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M5L's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M5L PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.5x
Fair PE Ratio19x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: M5L is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M5L forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Jan ’26n/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Dec ’25n/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Sep ’25€9.25
€10.02
+8.4%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Aug ’25€9.15
€10.02
+9.6%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Jul ’25€9.05
€10.02
+10.8%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Jun ’25€9.00
€10.01
+11.2%
3.4%€10.26€9.43n/a4
May ’25€9.00
€10.01
+11.2%
3.4%€10.26€9.43n/a4
Apr ’25€9.00
€10.01
+11.2%
3.4%€10.26€9.43n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
€9.92
0%
3.5%€10.25€9.37n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
€9.98
0%
2.3%€10.17€9.59n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.253
Aug ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.153
Jul ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.053
Jun ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.003
May ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.003
Apr ’24n/a
€9.91
0%
7.0%€10.89€9.31€9.003
Mar ’24n/a
€9.91
0%
7.0%€10.89€9.31n/a3
Feb ’24n/a
€10.38
0%
6.4%€11.31€9.91n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
€10.38
0%
6.4%€11.31€9.91n/a3
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
€9.84
Fair Value
6.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/09/03 02:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/09/03 00:00
Earnings2023/11/30
Annual Earnings2023/05/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mattioli Woods plc is covered by 5 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullCanaccord Genuity
Justin BatesDaniel Stewart & Company
Adrian KearseyEvolution Securities