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Mattioli Woods Valuation

Is M5L undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M5L when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M5L (€9.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M5L is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M5L?

Key metric: As M5L is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for M5L. This is calculated by dividing M5L's market cap by their current earnings.
What is M5L's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.5x
EarningsUK£9.91m
Market CapUK£431.25m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does M5L's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for M5L vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.7x
MLP MLP
10x8.3%€642.7m
B8A BAVARIA Industries Group
20.7xn/a€415.8m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
0.7xn/a€393.6m
O4B OVB Holding
15.3x3.5%€283.6m
M5L Mattioli Woods
43.5x26.7%€431.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M5L is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does M5L's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
0.7xn/aUS$416.46m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.6x-18.2%US$197.50m
VG8 Varengold Bank
2xn/aUS$26.47m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.80m
No more companies available in this PE range
M5L 43.5xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M5L is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (26.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M5L's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M5L PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.5x
Fair PE Ratio19x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: M5L is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M5L forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€10.02
0%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Sep ’25€9.25
€10.02
+8.4%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Aug ’25€9.15
€10.02
+9.6%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Jul ’25€9.05
€10.02
+10.8%
3.4%€10.28€9.44n/a4
Jun ’25€9.00
€10.01
+11.2%
3.4%€10.26€9.43n/a4
May ’25€9.00
€10.01
+11.2%
3.4%€10.26€9.43n/a4
Apr ’25€9.00
€10.01
+11.2%
3.4%€10.26€9.43n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
€9.92
0%
3.5%€10.25€9.37n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
€9.98
0%
2.3%€10.17€9.59n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
€10.29
0%
6.0%€11.29€9.61n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.253
Aug ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.153
Jul ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.053
Jun ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.003
May ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
6.4%€11.01€9.61€9.003
Apr ’24n/a
€9.91
0%
7.0%€10.89€9.31€9.003
Mar ’24n/a
€9.91
0%
7.0%€10.89€9.31n/a3
Feb ’24n/a
€10.38
0%
6.4%€11.31€9.91n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
€10.38
0%
6.4%€11.31€9.91n/a3
Dec ’23n/a
€10.38
0%
6.4%€11.31€9.91n/a3
Nov ’23n/a
€10.38
0%
6.4%€11.31€9.91n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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