Navigator Global Investments Limited

DB:HVH Stock Report

Market Cap: €525.3m

Navigator Global Investments Valuation

Is HVH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HVH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HVH (€1.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HVH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HVH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HVH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA31.6x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HVH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HVH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11x
MLP MLP
12.4x10.3%€603.6m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
8.7x25.0%€508.4m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.5xn/a€349.5m
O4B OVB Holding
19.4x9.0%€277.9m
HVH Navigator Global Investments
57.2x28.1%€860.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HVH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.2x) compared to the peer average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HVH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HVH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.2x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HVH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HVH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio57.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HVH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HVH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.05
€1.19
+12.9%
20.2%€1.51€0.93n/a3
Apr ’25€0.96
€1.19
+22.8%
20.2%€1.51€0.93n/a3
Mar ’25€0.85
€1.19
+38.7%
20.2%€1.51€0.93n/a3
Feb ’25€0.80
€1.21
+51.6%
18.3%€1.51€0.98n/a3
Jan ’25€0.77
€1.23
+60.3%
18.3%€1.53€0.99n/a3
Dec ’24€0.73
€1.20
+63.0%
18.3%€1.49€0.97n/a3
Nov ’24€0.70
€1.20
+70.0%
18.3%€1.49€0.97n/a3
Oct ’24€0.81
€1.20
+48.4%
17.9%€1.49€0.96n/a3
Sep ’24€0.84
€1.20
+43.1%
17.9%€1.49€0.96n/a3
Aug ’24€0.86
€1.14
+31.9%
17.9%€1.39€0.89n/a3
Jul ’24€0.80
€1.15
+44.3%
14.4%€1.32€0.92n/a3
Jun ’24€0.61
€1.11
+82.5%
14.4%€1.28€0.90n/a3
May ’24€0.62
€1.10
+77.7%
14.4%€1.27€0.89n/a3
Apr ’24€0.64
€1.20
+89.6%
16.2%€1.41€0.94€0.963
Mar ’24€0.69
€1.20
+75.8%
16.2%€1.41€0.94€0.853
Feb ’24€0.81
€1.38
+70.2%
4.3%€1.42€1.29€0.803
Jan ’24€0.72
€1.37
+88.6%
4.3%€1.41€1.28€0.773
Dec ’23€0.77
€1.37
+78.7%
4.3%€1.41€1.28€0.733
Nov ’23€0.74
€1.37
+84.7%
4.3%€1.41€1.28€0.703
Oct ’23€0.73
€1.52
+106.3%
2.2%€1.56€1.49€0.813
Sep ’23€0.85
€1.55
+81.6%
2.4%€1.59€1.51€0.842
Aug ’23€1.03
€1.48
+43.5%
0.2%€1.48€1.48€0.862
Jul ’23€0.81
€1.58
+95.6%
1.1%€1.60€1.57€0.802
Jun ’23€0.98
€1.58
+60.8%
1.1%€1.60€1.57€0.612
May ’23€1.09
€1.58
+45.3%
1.1%€1.60€1.57€0.622
Apr ’23n/a
€1.45
0%
4.6%€1.52€1.39€0.642

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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