Navigator Global Investments Limited

DB:HVH Stock Report

Market Cap: €504.6m

Navigator Global Investments Valuation

Is HVH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HVH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HVH (€1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HVH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HVH?

Key metric: As HVH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HVH. This is calculated by dividing HVH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HVH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.9x
EarningsUS$66.31m
Market CapUS$525.49m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HVH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HVH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.4x
MLP MLP
10x8.3%€642.7m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/a€390.6m
O4B OVB Holding
15.3x3.5%€283.6m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
24.4x54.1%€420.9m
HVH Navigator Global Investments
7.9x5.8%€808.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HVH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HVH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$406.78m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.8x-18.2%US$206.28m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.8xn/aUS$24.05m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.68m
No more companies available in this PE range
HVH 7.9xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HVH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HVH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HVH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HVH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HVH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.00
€1.44
+44.4%
14.7%€1.74€1.26n/a3
Nov ’25€0.98
€1.41
+43.4%
14.7%€1.69€1.22n/a3
Oct ’25€1.03
€1.45
+40.3%
14.7%€1.74€1.26n/a3
Sep ’25€1.08
€1.42
+31.7%
14.7%€1.71€1.24n/a3
Aug ’25€1.09
€1.39
+27.6%
5.9%€1.51€1.33n/a3
Jul ’25€1.19
€1.41
+18.4%
5.9%€1.53€1.34n/a3
Jun ’25€1.10
€1.19
+8.4%
20.2%€1.52€0.94n/a3
May ’25€1.10
€1.19
+8.4%
20.2%€1.52€0.94n/a3
Apr ’25€0.96
€1.19
+23.6%
20.2%€1.52€0.94n/a3
Mar ’25€0.85
€1.19
+39.5%
20.2%€1.52€0.94n/a3
Feb ’25€0.80
€1.21
+51.6%
18.3%€1.51€0.98n/a3
Jan ’25€0.77
€1.23
+60.3%
18.3%€1.53€0.99n/a3
Dec ’24€0.73
€1.20
+63.0%
18.3%€1.49€0.97n/a3
Nov ’24€0.70
€1.20
+70.0%
18.3%€1.49€0.97€0.983
Oct ’24€0.81
€1.20
+48.4%
17.9%€1.49€0.96€1.033
Sep ’24€0.84
€1.20
+43.1%
17.9%€1.49€0.96€1.083
Aug ’24€0.86
€1.14
+31.9%
17.9%€1.39€0.89€1.093
Jul ’24€0.80
€1.15
+44.3%
14.4%€1.32€0.92€1.193
Jun ’24€0.61
€1.11
+82.5%
14.4%€1.28€0.90€1.103
May ’24€0.62
€1.10
+77.7%
14.4%€1.27€0.89€1.103
Apr ’24€0.64
€1.20
+89.6%
16.2%€1.41€0.94€0.963
Mar ’24€0.69
€1.20
+75.8%
16.2%€1.41€0.94€0.853
Feb ’24€0.81
€1.38
+70.2%
4.3%€1.42€1.29€0.803
Jan ’24€0.72
€1.37
+88.6%
4.3%€1.41€1.28€0.773
Dec ’23€0.77
€1.37
+78.7%
4.3%€1.41€1.28€0.733
Nov ’23€0.74
€1.37
+84.7%
4.3%€1.41€1.28€0.703

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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