Moody's Valuation

Is DUT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DUT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DUT (€345) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€264.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DUT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DUT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DUT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.5x
PEG Ratio3.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DUT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DUT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.3x
DB1 Deutsche Börse
19.3x5.6%€33.8b
DBK Deutsche Bank
7.4x7.4%€32.6b
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
14.4x13.1%€8.1b
ICE Intercontinental Exchange
31.9x10.9%US$75.5b
DUT Moody's
42.7x11.7%€68.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DUT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.7x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DUT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DUT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.7x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DUT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DUT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DUT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DUT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€345.00
€379.59
+10.0%
7.2%€422.42€323.85n/a18
Apr ’25€359.00
€368.10
+2.5%
7.7%€418.95€316.54n/a18
Mar ’25€349.00
€365.61
+4.8%
7.8%€416.34€314.57n/a18
Feb ’25€361.00
€361.40
+0.1%
9.6%€420.10€309.31n/a19
Jan ’25€352.00
€331.38
-5.9%
9.6%€409.73€265.65n/a19
Dec ’24€333.00
€331.46
-0.5%
7.7%€377.91€285.05n/a19
Nov ’24€293.00
€336.31
+14.8%
7.1%€387.12€291.99n/a19
Oct ’24€300.00
€348.88
+16.3%
6.8%€393.29€304.33n/a19
Sep ’24€310.00
€341.70
+10.2%
6.8%€384.97€297.90n/a19
Aug ’24€319.00
€339.75
+6.5%
6.7%€382.41€295.91n/a20
Jul ’24€315.00
€307.04
-2.5%
8.2%€368.04€254.87n/a20
Jun ’24€295.00
€306.02
+3.7%
6.6%€334.80€257.61n/a19
May ’24€281.00
€297.66
+5.9%
7.3%€326.70€251.38n/a18
Apr ’24€274.50
€309.58
+12.8%
7.8%€341.32€262.62€359.0017
Mar ’24€270.00
€303.36
+12.4%
8.2%€336.02€258.55€349.0017
Feb ’24€294.50
€290.39
-1.4%
8.2%€324.07€252.15€361.0017
Jan ’24€263.30
€272.38
+3.4%
5.9%€308.88€243.36€352.0017
Dec ’23€285.65
€274.62
-3.9%
5.9%€302.34€239.95€333.0017
Nov ’23€267.80
€280.59
+4.8%
7.2%€316.13€239.86€293.0017
Oct ’23€253.25
€320.37
+26.5%
7.6%€361.57€266.04€300.0017
Sep ’23€282.80
€313.63
+10.9%
7.5%€353.90€260.40€310.0018
Aug ’23€301.10
€302.77
+0.6%
6.5%€335.71€254.23€319.0018
Jul ’23€256.45
€304.03
+18.6%
8.5%€368.29€268.55€315.0018
Jun ’23€249.90
€325.87
+30.4%
9.3%€394.59€286.27€295.0018
May ’23€309.25
€360.20
+16.5%
6.1%€398.29€326.85€281.0017
Apr ’23€305.00
€346.40
+13.6%
6.3%€397.51€312.40€274.5017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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