Hargreaves Lansdown plc

DB:DMB Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.2b

Hargreaves Lansdown Valuation

Is DMB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DMB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DMB (€12.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€16.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DMB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DMB?

Key metric: As DMB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DMB. This is calculated by dividing DMB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DMB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.6x
EarningsUK£293.20m
Market CapUK£5.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DMB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DMB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
13x12.7%€7.8b
MLP MLP
9.9x8.3%€640.5m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/a€389.6m
O4B OVB Holding
15.3x3.5%€283.6m
DMB Hargreaves Lansdown
17.6x1.6%€5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DMB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (10.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DMB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$411.59m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%US$208.06m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.9xn/aUS$25.70m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.79m
No more companies available in this PE range
DMB 17.6xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DMB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DMB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DMB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DMB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DMB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.97
€13.50
+4.1%
7.7%€16.15€11.29n/a12
Nov ’25€12.79
€13.47
+5.3%
7.7%€16.11€11.26n/a12
Oct ’25€13.23
€12.89
-2.6%
12.2%€15.97€9.04n/a13
Sep ’25€12.89
€12.55
-2.6%
13.4%€15.63€8.09n/a13
Aug ’25€12.87
€12.10
-6.0%
20.1%€15.93€8.13n/a14
Jul ’25€13.17
€11.61
-11.9%
22.3%€15.84€7.43n/a14
Jun ’25€12.30
€11.00
-10.6%
25.1%€17.63€7.40n/a17
May ’25€9.00
€10.87
+20.9%
26.2%€17.53€7.24n/a17
Apr ’25€8.39
€10.76
+28.2%
27.5%€17.52€7.01n/a18
Mar ’25€8.59
€10.76
+25.3%
27.5%€17.52€7.01n/a18
Feb ’25€8.75
€11.28
+28.8%
32.2%€19.91€7.03n/a18
Jan ’25€8.09
€11.20
+38.4%
32.5%€19.76€6.98n/a18
Dec ’24€8.17
€11.05
+35.3%
32.2%€19.45€6.87n/a18
Nov ’24€7.91
€11.42
+44.4%
30.1%€19.48€6.88€12.7917
Oct ’24€8.77
€11.84
+35.0%
29.9%€19.93€7.63€13.2318
Sep ’24€8.54
€11.63
+36.2%
28.2%€19.27€7.59€12.8919
Aug ’24€9.65
€11.70
+21.2%
26.5%€19.12€8.11€12.8719
Jul ’24€8.72
€11.71
+34.3%
27.5%€19.63€8.19€13.1719
Jun ’24€8.97
€11.82
+31.8%
27.3%€19.55€8.15€12.3018
May ’24€8.57
€11.54
+34.7%
26.7%€19.03€7.93€9.0018
Apr ’24€8.65
€11.44
+32.2%
26.8%€19.07€7.51€8.3920
Mar ’24€9.20
€11.52
+25.2%
26.2%€19.08€7.51€8.5920
Feb ’24€9.65
€11.67
+20.9%
22.8%€18.68€8.83€8.7519
Jan ’24€9.70
€12.05
+24.2%
22.2%€19.22€9.09€8.0920
Dec ’23€9.30
€11.89
+27.8%
22.0%€18.88€8.93€8.1720
Nov ’23€8.55
€12.30
+43.9%
24.8%€19.03€9.00€7.9120

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Yeahka

HK$4.3b

An investment holding company, provides payment and business services to merchants and consumers in the People’s Republic of China.

4YE

HK$1.21

7D

-5.5%

1Y

-23.4%

Mutares SE KGaA

€484.6m

A private equity firm specializing in investments in secondary direct, special situations, bridge financing, recapitalization, distressed/vulture, management succession, reorganization, carve-outs, turnarounds, spin-offs and re-funding.

MUX

€22.40

7D

1.1%

1Y

-28.3%

Exor

€20.1b

Engages in the luxury goods, automotive, agricultural and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and professional football businesses worldwide.

EYX

€93.65

7D

-0.8%

1Y

7.7%