TMX Group Valuation

Is 9TX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9TX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€19.74
Fair Value
50.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 9TX (€29.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€19.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9TX is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9TX?

Key metric: As 9TX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9TX. This is calculated by dividing 9TX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9TX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.7x
EarningsCA$406.60m
Market CapCA$12.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9TX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9TX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.4x
DB1 Deutsche Börse
23.7x5.5%€43.7b
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
16x13.2%€9.5b
DBK Deutsche Bank
10.9x17.2%€36.8b
FTK flatexDEGIRO
15.1x9.0%€1.8b
9TX TMX Group
30.7x7.3%€12.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9TX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9TX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.9x-19.3%US$211.61m
SPT6 Sparta
2.6xn/aUS$174.98m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.64m
No more companies available in this PE range
9TX 30.7xIndustry Avg. 18.9xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9TX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9TX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9TX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.7x
Fair PE Ratio15.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9TX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9TX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€29.60
€32.01
+8.1%
6.0%€35.82€29.85n/a8
Jan ’26€28.80
€31.77
+10.3%
4.9%€34.78€29.43n/a8
Dec ’25€29.20
€31.68
+8.5%
4.4%€33.70€29.66n/a8
Nov ’25€27.80
€30.95
+11.3%
4.6%€33.02€29.05n/a8
Oct ’25€27.40
€28.31
+3.3%
2.8%€29.67€27.04n/a8
Sep ’25€27.60
€28.31
+2.6%
2.8%€29.67€27.04n/a8
Aug ’25€27.20
€28.46
+4.6%
6.0%€30.73€24.72n/a9
Jul ’25€25.20
€26.93
+6.8%
5.9%€30.03€24.57n/a9
Jun ’25€23.80
€26.56
+11.6%
5.9%€29.63€24.24n/a9
May ’25€24.20
€26.31
+8.7%
6.9%€29.94€23.82n/a9
Apr ’25€24.00
€24.65
+2.7%
6.3%€27.88€22.44n/a8
Mar ’25€23.60
€24.56
+4.1%
4.0%€26.20€22.75n/a8
Feb ’25€22.40
€23.41
+4.5%
3.9%€24.79€21.34€29.608
Jan ’25€21.20
€22.57
+6.5%
4.6%€23.94€21.20€28.807
Dec ’24€19.30
€21.84
+13.2%
3.8%€23.21€20.48€29.208
Nov ’24€19.30
€21.84
+13.2%
3.8%€23.21€20.48€27.808
Oct ’24€19.90
€22.15
+11.3%
4.3%€23.09€20.37€27.408
Sep ’24€19.90
€22.15
+11.3%
4.3%€23.09€20.37€27.608
Aug ’24€19.50
€22.27
+14.2%
5.1%€23.30€19.88€27.208
Jul ’24€19.90
€21.31
+7.1%
5.4%€23.50€19.36€25.208
Jun ’24€20.20
€21.30
+5.5%
5.7%€23.39€19.26€23.807
May ’24€18.10
€20.12
+11.1%
7.0%€22.69€18.42€24.207
Apr ’24€18.10
€20.97
+15.9%
6.1%€23.31€19.43€24.007
Mar ’24€18.80
€20.97
+11.6%
6.1%€23.31€19.43€23.607
Feb ’24€17.90
€21.17
+18.3%
6.8%€23.78€19.24€22.407
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
€31.75
Fair Value
6.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 07:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TMX Group Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeremy CampbellBarclays
Benjamin BudishBarclays
Etienne RicardBMO Capital Markets Equity Research