Upstart Holdings Valuation

Is 855 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 855 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 855 (€35.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€7.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 855 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 855?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

855 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-30.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 855's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 855 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.6x
E4I Multitude
0.8x22.2%€96.7m
HYQ Hypoport
5x12.5%€2.0b
ARLN Aareal Bank
2.6xn/a€2.2b
T2G Tradegate Wertpapierhandelsbank
18.1xn/a€2.2b
855 Upstart Holdings
6.4x17.8%€3.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 855 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (6.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 855's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 855 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 855's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

855 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.4x
Fair PS Ratio2.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 855 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 855 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.28
€22.50
-36.2%
47.8%€43.20€8.10n/a13
Sep ’25€38.05
€20.97
-44.9%
43.5%€33.17€8.07n/a13
Aug ’25€25.45
€18.44
-27.6%
38.1%€28.63€8.31n/a14
Jul ’25€21.14
€17.41
-17.6%
36.8%€27.55€8.26n/a14
Jun ’25€22.36
€17.74
-20.6%
36.3%€27.85€8.35n/a13
May ’25€20.84
€19.01
-8.7%
34.4%€27.68€8.30n/a14
Apr ’25€25.32
€19.12
-24.5%
34.4%€27.63€8.29n/a14
Mar ’25€23.13
€19.32
-16.5%
34.4%€27.68€8.31n/a14
Feb ’25€28.65
€19.78
-31.0%
45.7%€38.69€5.53n/a15
Jan ’25€39.29
€18.21
-53.6%
49.7%€38.53€5.50n/a13
Dec ’24€28.56
€17.60
-38.4%
42.3%€29.40€5.51n/a14
Nov ’24€23.68
€22.49
-5.0%
60.2%€60.46€5.67n/a15
Oct ’24€26.98
€22.78
-15.6%
60.2%€60.56€5.68n/a15
Sep ’24€29.31
€22.89
-21.9%
64.3%€58.60€5.49€38.0514
Aug ’24€63.58
€20.60
-67.6%
88.8%€64.90€5.41€25.4514
Jul ’24€33.30
€15.15
-54.5%
59.0%€38.64€5.52€21.1413
Jun ’24€27.90
€11.75
-57.9%
26.1%€15.79€5.57€22.3613
May ’24€12.79
€10.75
-16.0%
28.0%€15.58€5.50€20.8413
Apr ’24€14.58
€10.95
-24.9%
28.9%€15.78€5.57€25.3212
Mar ’24€16.80
€12.51
-25.6%
32.6%€22.44€5.61€23.1312
Feb ’24€18.45
€13.24
-28.2%
27.5%€21.85€7.28€28.6512
Jan ’24€11.90
€15.47
+30.0%
38.8%€31.33€9.49€39.2912
Dec ’23€17.90
€15.49
-13.5%
39.7%€31.69€9.60€28.5612
Nov ’23€23.49
€24.50
+4.3%
32.7%€37.13€14.05€23.6812
Oct ’23€21.82
€25.73
+17.9%
32.0%€37.02€13.64€26.9812
Sep ’23€25.01
€25.73
+2.9%
32.0%€37.02€13.64€29.3112

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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