Adyen Valuation

Is 1N8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1N8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1N8 (€1238.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€960.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1N8 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1N8?

Key metric: As 1N8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1N8. This is calculated by dividing 1N8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1N8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.2x
Earnings€825.76m
Market Cap€38.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1N8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1N8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
DB1 Deutsche Börse
20.8x4.6%€38.5b
DBK Deutsche Bank
8x13.4%€31.2b
SQ Block
49.6x27.6%US$51.7b
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
13.5x13.1%€8.0b
1N8 Adyen
47.2x19.8%€38.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1N8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the peer average (23x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1N8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1N8 47.2xIndustry Avg. 10.6xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1N8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1N8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1N8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.2x
Fair PE Ratio24.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1N8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1N8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1,238.40
€1,640.93
+32.5%
11.8%€2,100.00€1,065.00n/a29
Nov ’25€1,400.80
€1,631.45
+16.5%
11.4%€1,950.00€1,065.00n/a29
Oct ’25€1,360.00
€1,607.14
+18.2%
11.4%€1,950.00€1,065.00n/a28
Sep ’25€1,300.60
€1,596.43
+22.7%
11.5%€1,950.00€1,065.00n/a28
Aug ’25€1,115.80
€1,601.14
+43.5%
11.0%€1,900.00€1,065.00n/a29
Jul ’25€1,136.00
€1,634.76
+43.9%
9.6%€1,900.00€1,300.00n/a29
Jun ’25€1,194.60
€1,619.23
+35.5%
11.4%€1,900.00€1,200.00n/a30
May ’25€1,126.40
€1,626.23
+44.4%
11.7%€2,000.00€1,200.00n/a30
Apr ’25€1,564.40
€1,614.19
+3.2%
12.3%€2,000.00€1,200.00n/a31
Mar ’25€1,471.80
€1,548.23
+5.2%
13.1%€2,000.00€1,200.00n/a31
Feb ’25€1,195.80
€1,264.00
+5.7%
17.2%€1,660.00€730.00n/a30
Jan ’25€1,174.20
€1,100.78
-6.3%
22.4%€1,660.00€730.00n/a30
Dec ’24€1,079.40
€1,048.49
-2.9%
23.7%€1,660.00€695.00n/a29
Nov ’24€650.40
€987.39
+51.8%
26.5%€1,660.00€650.00€1,400.8029
Oct ’24€702.00
€1,042.65
+48.5%
24.4%€1,660.00€720.00€1,360.0025
Sep ’24€780.00
€1,122.51
+43.9%
23.8%€1,900.00€750.00€1,300.6026
Aug ’24€1,646.20
€1,682.57
+2.2%
16.0%€2,170.00€1,050.00€1,115.8025
Jul ’24€1,553.20
€1,686.91
+8.6%
15.9%€2,169.49€1,050.00€1,136.0025
Jun ’24€1,550.20
€1,640.40
+5.8%
18.0%€2,169.49€897.00€1,194.6027
May ’24€1,444.20
€1,619.65
+12.1%
17.4%€2,100.00€897.00€1,126.4025
Apr ’24€1,456.00
€1,611.32
+10.7%
17.8%€2,100.00€897.00€1,564.4025
Mar ’24€1,335.80
€1,612.92
+20.7%
18.4%€2,300.00€897.00€1,471.8026
Feb ’24€1,443.20
€1,762.22
+22.1%
20.2%€2,550.00€897.00€1,195.8027
Jan ’24€1,310.60
€1,895.19
+44.6%
19.4%€2,550.00€897.00€1,174.2027
Dec ’23€1,512.20
€1,896.04
+25.4%
20.6%€2,550.00€897.00€1,079.4026
Nov ’23€1,434.00
€1,901.88
+32.6%
21.0%€2,550.00€897.00€650.4025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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