Helia Group Valuation

Is 0GI0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0GI0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0GI0 (€2.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0GI0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0GI0?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0GI0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.6x
PEG Ratio-0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0GI0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0GI0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.7x
PBB Deutsche Pfandbriefbank
9.3x29.0%€633.6m
ARLN Aareal Bank
47.9xn/a€2.0b
ARLN Aareal Bank
13.7x24.6%€2.0b
GLJ Grenke
11.9x18.2%€994.0m
0GI0 Helia Group
4x-22.5%€1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0GI0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0GI0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0GI0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0GI0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0GI0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4x
Fair PE Ratio7.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0GI0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0GI0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.22
€2.50
+12.7%
5.5%€2.74€2.37n/a4
Apr ’25€2.28
€2.45
+7.6%
6.1%€2.70€2.29n/a4
Mar ’25€2.50
€2.45
-1.9%
6.1%€2.70€2.29n/a4
Feb ’25€2.88
€2.24
-22.4%
10.3%€2.48€1.87n/a4
Jan ’25€2.66
€2.24
-15.9%
10.3%€2.48€1.87n/a4
Dec ’24€2.48
€2.24
-9.8%
10.3%€2.48€1.87n/a4
Nov ’24€2.14
€2.15
+0.4%
9.9%€2.44€1.88n/a4
Oct ’24€2.12
€2.15
+1.4%
9.9%€2.44€1.88n/a4
Sep ’24€2.40
€2.11
-12.0%
9.7%€2.39€1.85n/a4
Aug ’24€2.30
€1.99
-13.3%
15.3%€2.43€1.57n/a4
Jul ’24€2.10
€2.00
-4.5%
15.6%€2.48€1.60n/a4
Jun ’24€1.99
€1.97
-1.1%
15.7%€2.44€1.58n/a4
May ’24€1.85
€2.02
+9.3%
15.4%€2.47€1.59€2.364
Apr ’24€1.72
€2.02
+17.5%
15.4%€2.47€1.59€2.284
Mar ’24€2.12
€2.02
-4.6%
15.4%€2.47€1.59€2.504
Feb ’24€1.79
€1.89
+5.4%
13.9%€2.27€1.53€2.884
Jan ’24€1.71
€1.85
+8.3%
14.5%€2.24€1.48€2.664
Dec ’23€1.72
€1.90
+10.5%
14.2%€2.29€1.52€2.484
Nov ’23€1.80
€1.90
+5.8%
14.2%€2.28€1.52€2.144
Oct ’23€1.76
€1.97
+11.9%
15.9%€2.38€1.50€2.124
Sep ’23€1.89
€1.97
+4.2%
15.9%€2.38€1.50€2.404
Aug ’23€1.91
€1.88
-1.6%
19.6%€2.35€1.32€2.304
Jul ’23€1.45
€1.83
+26.3%
22.6%€2.29€1.29€2.103
Jun ’23€1.97
€2.20
+11.6%
8.4%€2.34€1.94€1.993
May ’23€1.99
€2.12
+6.6%
8.1%€2.33€1.90€1.853

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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