Grenke Valuation

Is GLJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GLJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GLJ (€21.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GLJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLJ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GLJ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GLJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GLJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68.7x
ALG ALBIS Leasing
12.9x-5.4%€48.7m
HYQ Hypoport
80.5x31.8%€1.6b
PBB Deutsche Pfandbriefbank
8.8x28.2%€600.3m
EBEN aifinyo
172.6x47.4%€19.4m
GLJ Grenke
12x18.2%€1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GLJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (68.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GLJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GLJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GLJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.70
€32.46
+49.6%
14.5%€40.00€27.30n/a5
Apr ’25€24.20
€32.46
+34.1%
14.5%€40.00€27.30n/a5
Mar ’25€22.60
€31.90
+41.2%
15.3%€38.50€24.00n/a5
Feb ’25€22.75
€31.90
+40.2%
15.3%€38.50€24.00n/a5
Jan ’25€25.05
€31.90
+27.3%
15.3%€38.50€24.00n/a5
Dec ’24€23.45
€31.90
+36.0%
15.3%€38.50€24.00n/a5
Nov ’24€20.30
€31.90
+57.1%
15.3%€38.50€24.00n/a5
Oct ’24€20.70
€32.50
+57.0%
14.8%€38.50€24.00n/a5
Sep ’24€23.50
€33.90
+44.3%
7.8%€38.50€31.00n/a5
Aug ’24€24.90
€34.20
+37.3%
9.3%€40.00€31.00n/a5
Jul ’24€26.70
€35.17
+31.7%
10.3%€40.00€31.00n/a6
Jun ’24€27.80
€35.17
+26.5%
10.3%€40.00€31.00n/a6
May ’24€32.45
€35.50
+9.4%
9.7%€40.00€32.00n/a6
Apr ’24€25.48
€35.50
+39.3%
9.7%€40.00€32.00€24.206
Mar ’24€30.08
€37.33
+24.1%
16.0%€50.00€32.00€22.606
Feb ’24€27.18
€37.33
+37.4%
16.0%€50.00€32.00€22.756
Jan ’24€19.58
€37.33
+90.7%
16.0%€50.00€32.00€25.056
Dec ’23€21.08
€37.33
+77.1%
16.0%€50.00€32.00€23.456
Nov ’23€20.86
€38.05
+82.4%
16.8%€50.00€32.00€20.306
Oct ’23€18.70
€38.05
+103.5%
16.8%€50.00€32.00€20.706
Sep ’23€23.54
€38.05
+61.6%
16.8%€50.00€32.00€23.506
Aug ’23€25.96
€38.22
+47.2%
16.4%€50.00€32.00€24.906
Jul ’23€24.38
€38.78
+59.1%
15.9%€50.00€32.00€26.706
Jun ’23€26.42
€37.81
+43.1%
16.3%€50.00€32.00€27.807
May ’23€25.20
€38.49
+52.7%
16.8%€50.00€32.00€32.457
Apr ’23€26.00
€39.20
+50.8%
16.1%€50.00€32.00€25.487

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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