The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

XTRA:GOS Stock Report

Market Cap: €188.5b

Goldman Sachs Group Valuation

Is GOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GOS (€574.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€732.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GOS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GOS?

Key metric: As GOS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GOS. This is calculated by dividing GOS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GOS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.5x
EarningsUS$11.42b
Market CapUS$199.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GOS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.1x
FTK flatexDEGIRO
12.5x8.5%€1.5b
T2G Tradegate Wertpapierhandelsbank
86.6xn/a€2.2b
DBK Deutsche Bank
7.7x13.4%€30.0b
DB1 Deutsche Börse
21.7x5.4%€40.1b
GOS Goldman Sachs Group
17.5x10.5%€199.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (32.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GOS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$411.59m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%US$208.06m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.9xn/aUS$25.70m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.79m
No more companies available in this PE range
GOS 17.5xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GOS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GOS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio24.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€574.70
€555.18
-3.4%
9.8%€647.90€428.76n/a19
Nov ’25€483.00
€503.15
+4.2%
8.4%€565.19€414.23n/a20
Oct ’25€443.70
€466.74
+5.2%
7.1%€512.82€404.15n/a20
Sep ’25€457.60
€464.86
+1.6%
8.1%€515.56€382.81n/a21
Aug ’25€471.35
€476.33
+1.1%
8.2%€528.18€392.18n/a20
Jul ’25€427.90
€424.44
-0.8%
9.2%€490.09€336.06n/a22
Jun ’25€416.20
€418.45
+0.5%
9.3%€485.15€332.68n/a22
May ’25€401.35
€415.85
+3.6%
9.4%€484.33€332.56n/a22
Apr ’25€386.10
€388.67
+0.7%
8.3%€456.86€328.98n/a22
Mar ’25€358.10
€382.82
+6.9%
9.4%€467.59€328.06n/a23
Feb ’25€351.70
€382.00
+8.6%
10.1%€466.68€299.75n/a22
Jan ’25€349.70
€347.85
-0.5%
11.2%€436.75€276.94n/a24
Dec ’24€317.10
€346.50
+9.3%
10.9%€430.33€280.45n/a24
Nov ’24€289.20
€354.65
+22.6%
10.0%€419.20€286.03€483.0023
Oct ’24€308.30
€363.63
+17.9%
9.1%€425.79€288.59€443.7023
Sep ’24€303.00
€358.44
+18.3%
9.4%€427.95€283.13€457.6023
Aug ’24€323.40
€352.79
+9.1%
9.8%€439.77€277.70€471.3523
Jul ’24€297.50
€355.56
+19.5%
10.0%€430.99€279.69€427.9023
Jun ’24€295.70
€364.64
+23.3%
9.1%€438.56€307.92€416.2023
May ’24€310.00
€356.47
+15.0%
9.2%€429.02€301.22€401.3523
Apr ’24€298.75
€369.77
+23.8%
11.3%€460.05€306.70€386.1023
Mar ’24€327.10
€375.10
+14.7%
11.0%€464.26€309.51€358.1023
Feb ’24€333.00
€363.59
+9.2%
10.5%€455.35€303.57€351.7023
Jan ’24€320.05
€371.18
+16.0%
11.3%€463.76€282.78€349.7025
Dec ’23€364.80
€379.14
+3.9%
12.1%€495.87€290.55€317.1025
Nov ’23€351.35
€391.95
+11.6%
11.8%€482.91€293.60€289.2025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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