Stock Analysis

Deutsche Börse AG's (ETR:DB1) high institutional ownership speaks for itself as stock continues to impress, up 5.0% over last week

XTRA:DB1
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Deutsche Börse's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • 39% of the business is held by the top 25 shareholders
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

A look at the shareholders of Deutsche Börse AG (ETR:DB1) can tell us which group is most powerful. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 53% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained €1.5b in market cap last week. The one-year return on investment is currently 15% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Deutsche Börse.

Check out our latest analysis for Deutsche Börse

ownership-breakdown
XTRA:DB1 Ownership Breakdown June 18th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Deutsche Börse?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Deutsche Börse. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Deutsche Börse's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:DB1 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 18th 2023

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Hedge funds don't have many shares in Deutsche Börse. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Massachusetts Financial Services Company with 5.2% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 3.8% and 3.8% of the stock.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Deutsche Börse

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

We note our data does not show any board members holding shares, personally. Given we are not picking up on insider ownership, we may have missing data. Therefore, it would be interesting to assess the CEO compensation and tenure, here.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 47% stake in Deutsche Börse. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Deutsche Börse better, we need to consider many other factors.

I like to dive deeper into how a company has performed in the past. You can access this interactive graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow, for free.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.