MSCI Valuation

Is 3HM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3HM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3HM (€463.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€486.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3HM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3HM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3HM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue16.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.8x
PEG Ratio4.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3HM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3HM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
DB1 Deutsche Börse
19.5x5.7%€34.2b
DBK Deutsche Bank
7x10.7%€30.7b
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
15.2x13.2%€8.5b
NDAQ Nasdaq
36.5x14.1%US$35.9b
3HM MSCI
34.3x7.7%€39.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3HM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.3x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3HM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3HM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.3x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (22.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3HM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3HM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3HM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3HM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€463.20
€513.42
+10.8%
10.1%€595.13€426.42n/a13
May ’25€445.80
€518.69
+16.4%
12.2%€601.43€379.40n/a14
Apr ’25€518.20
€562.59
+8.6%
11.9%€642.95€431.70n/a15
Mar ’25€518.00
€566.70
+9.4%
12.0%€647.50€434.75n/a16
Feb ’25€559.20
€575.10
+2.8%
10.5%€647.85€434.99n/a16
Jan ’25€516.40
€507.17
-1.8%
9.9%€587.07€403.61n/a16
Dec ’24€481.60
€498.53
+3.5%
9.4%€586.75€403.39n/a16
Nov ’24€449.70
€511.84
+13.8%
9.3%€605.63€416.37n/a16
Oct ’24€491.60
€538.04
+9.4%
10.5%€610.81€413.47n/a16
Sep ’24€505.60
€530.32
+4.9%
10.8%€595.79€403.30n/a16
Aug ’24€497.90
€523.28
+5.1%
10.8%€591.11€400.14n/a17
Jul ’24€430.40
€492.43
+14.4%
9.2%€548.10€376.36n/a17
Jun ’24€434.20
€509.02
+17.2%
11.8%€672.62€379.62n/a16
May ’24€435.10
€503.26
+15.7%
12.3%€661.60€373.40€445.8014
Apr ’24€510.60
€529.89
+3.8%
11.3%€678.46€382.91€518.2014
Mar ’24€483.60
€527.44
+9.1%
11.7%€680.43€384.03€518.0014
Feb ’24€491.55
€511.33
+4.0%
10.2%€611.72€375.04€559.2014
Jan ’24€442.85
€476.95
+7.7%
11.4%€566.16€349.13€516.4013
Dec ’23€490.55
€468.36
-4.5%
9.3%€523.96€355.72€481.6012
Nov ’23€474.30
€496.40
+4.7%
12.4%€642.11€371.22€449.7013
Oct ’23€438.80
€515.46
+17.5%
12.1%€649.60€375.55€491.6013
Sep ’23€448.20
€510.82
+14.0%
12.1%€643.46€372.00€505.6013
Aug ’23€467.65
€487.84
+4.3%
11.9%€626.56€362.23€497.9013
Jul ’23€395.60
€481.54
+21.7%
13.1%€624.37€359.66€430.4013
Jun ’23€393.00
€502.42
+27.8%
13.3%€619.10€356.63€434.2013
May ’23€407.25
€520.71
+27.9%
13.2%€619.62€356.93€435.1013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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