Van Lanschot Kempen Valuation

Is VA3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VA3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VA3 (€39.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VA3 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VA3?

Key metric: As VA3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VA3. This is calculated by dividing VA3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VA3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.6x
Earnings€138.87m
Market Cap€1.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VA3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VA3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.7x
MLP MLP
10.6x8.7%€645.9m
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
13.5x13.1%€8.0b
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.8xn/a€384.2m
O4B OVB Holding
15.1x3.8%€279.3m
VA3 Van Lanschot Kempen
12.6x6.9%€1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VA3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (10.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VA3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.8xn/aUS$404.49m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.2x-23.5%US$209.96m
VG8 Varengold Bank
2xn/aUS$26.85m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.76m
No more companies available in this PE range
VA3 12.6xIndustry Avg. 20.7xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VA3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (25.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VA3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VA3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VA3's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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