Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

BST:LID Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.8b

Bread Financial Holdings Valuation

Is LID undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LID when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LID (€55.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LID is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LID?

Key metric: As LID is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LID. This is calculated by dividing LID's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LID's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
EarningsUS$316.00m
Market CapUS$2.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LID's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LID vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
OT8 Eleving Group
9.3x29.7%€190.9m
E4I Multitude
9.2x19.8%€101.8m
FTK flatexDEGIRO
12.4x8.5%€1.5b
HYQ Hypoport
46.2x30.4%€1.4b
LID Bread Financial Holdings
9.1x9.5%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LID is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LID's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LID 9.1xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LID is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LID's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LID PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LID's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LID forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€53.26
0%
23.9%€83.09€32.10n/a15
Nov ’25n/a
€49.82
0%
23.2%€81.38€31.44n/a15
Oct ’25€41.50
€48.13
+16.0%
18.0%€60.53€31.62n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
€49.26
0%
17.2%€60.07€31.38n/a15
Aug ’25n/a
€49.37
0%
17.6%€62.09€32.43n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
€39.91
0%
24.7%€62.40€24.21n/a14
Jun ’25n/a
€38.05
0%
25.4%€61.65€23.92n/a14
May ’25n/a
€34.69
0%
15.1%€44.75€24.24n/a14
Apr ’25n/a
€34.21
0%
19.0%€47.99€24.92n/a14
Mar ’25n/a
€34.21
0%
19.0%€47.99€24.92n/a14
Feb ’25n/a
€33.98
0%
19.2%€47.84€23.00n/a15
Jan ’25n/a
€31.71
0%
23.5%€48.55€21.98n/a13
Dec ’24n/a
€32.30
0%
23.3%€48.59€22.00n/a13
Nov ’24€26.60
€35.59
+33.8%
23.0%€50.08€27.40n/a12
Oct ’24n/a
€43.07
0%
15.3%€59.69€34.51€41.5011
Sep ’24n/a
€42.83
0%
15.1%€59.01€34.11n/a11
Aug ’24€37.60
€40.67
+8.2%
17.5%€58.20€30.92n/a11
Jul ’24n/a
€36.21
0%
25.6%€59.28€25.94n/a11
Jun ’24n/a
€35.50
0%
24.5%€57.89€25.33n/a12
May ’24n/a
€36.75
0%
24.4%€58.08€27.23n/a12
Apr ’24n/a
€42.90
0%
16.6%€60.01€32.82n/a12
Mar ’24n/a
€49.06
0%
36.5%€106.29€35.74n/a13
Feb ’24n/a
€49.04
0%
36.9%€106.71€35.88n/a13
Jan ’24n/a
€45.64
0%
18.6%€60.23€33.88n/a12
Dec ’23n/a
€48.76
0%
19.4%€64.79€36.45n/a12
Nov ’23n/a
€48.76
0%
19.4%€64.79€36.45€26.6012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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