illimity Bank Valuation

Is 53D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 53D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 53D (€3.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 53D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 53D?

Key metric: As 53D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 53D. This is calculated by dividing 53D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 53D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.6x
Earnings€60.36m
Market Cap€279.09m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 53D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 53D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.7x
GLJ Grenke
8.4x23.0%€717.7m
ALG ALBIS Leasing
13.3x-3.3%€58.9m
EBEN aifinyo
118xn/a€13.3m
DFTK DF Deutsche Forfait
15.2xn/a€17.8m
53D illimity Bank
4.6x4.0%€279.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 53D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (38.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 53D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
53D 4.6xIndustry Avg. 10.8xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 53D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 53D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

53D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 53D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 53D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.31
€5.01
+51.3%
13.3%€6.00€4.40n/a4
Nov ’25€3.64
€5.49
+50.8%
8.9%€6.00€5.00n/a4
Oct ’25€4.55
€5.66
+24.5%
7.0%€6.00€5.00n/a4
Sep ’25€4.76
€5.66
+18.9%
7.0%€6.00€5.00n/a4
Aug ’25€4.59
€5.71
+24.5%
5.5%€6.00€5.20n/a4
Jul ’25€4.77
€5.79
+21.4%
3.5%€6.00€5.50n/a4
Jun ’25€4.98
€5.79
+16.3%
3.5%€6.00€5.50n/a4
May ’25€5.14
€5.79
+12.6%
3.5%€6.00€5.50n/a4
Apr ’25€4.75
€6.16
+29.8%
7.6%€6.70€5.50n/a4
Mar ’25€4.53
€6.16
+36.1%
7.6%€6.70€5.50n/a4
Feb ’25€4.99
€6.90
+38.3%
14.1%€8.50€5.90n/a4
Jan ’25€5.37
€7.30
+36.1%
10.8%€8.50€6.50n/a4
Dec ’24€5.20
€7.30
+40.4%
10.8%€8.50€6.50n/a4
Nov ’24€4.71
€7.90
+67.7%
12.3%€8.90€6.50€3.644
Oct ’24€5.12
€8.03
+56.7%
9.9%€8.90€7.00€4.554
Sep ’24€5.90
€8.03
+36.0%
9.9%€8.90€7.00€4.764
Aug ’24€5.83
€8.10
+38.9%
8.7%€8.90€7.30€4.594
Jul ’24€6.22
€8.55
+37.5%
7.3%€9.10€7.50€4.774
Jun ’24€6.16
€8.55
+38.9%
7.3%€9.10€7.50€4.984
May ’24€6.29
€9.05
+44.0%
11.6%€10.20€7.50€5.144
Apr ’24€6.02
€9.05
+50.5%
11.6%€10.20€7.50€4.754
Mar ’24€6.49
€9.55
+47.3%
18.1%€12.20€7.50€4.534
Feb ’24€7.57
€11.04
+45.9%
11.0%€12.30€9.65€4.994
Jan ’24€6.82
€11.56
+69.7%
9.1%€12.30€9.75€5.374
Dec ’23n/a
€11.84
0%
11.0%€13.30€9.75€5.204
Nov ’23n/a
€11.84
0%
11.0%€13.30€9.75€4.714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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