Oriental Land Co., Ltd.

DB:OLL Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.3b

Oriental Land Valuation

Is OLL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of OLL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: OLL (€12.1) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (€17.17)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: OLL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OLL?

Key metric: As OLL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OLL. This is calculated by dividing OLL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OLL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.8x
EarningsJP¥121.88b
Market CapJP¥3.76t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OLL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OLL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
TUI1 TUI
4.7x10.78%€3.3b
NHB0 Nebelhornbahn-Aktiengesellschaft
14.4xn/a€24.5m
TIMA ZEAL Network
23.3x15.14%€934.7m
LTH Life Time Group Holdings
19.3x5.44%US$7.3b
OLL Oriental Land
30.8x5.45%€3.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OLL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OLL 30.8xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies21PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OLL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OLL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.8x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OLL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.10
€16.83
+39.07%
25.75%€27.41€11.29n/a14
Jun ’27€11.90
€16.93
+42.24%
26.44%€27.45€11.30n/a14
May ’27€11.50
€17.55
+52.60%
25.08%€27.75€13.17n/a13
Apr ’27€14.60
€19.27
+31.98%
20.76%€27.65€13.12n/a13
Mar ’27€15.10
€19.83
+31.31%
23.34%€30.39€13.13n/a13
Feb ’27€14.60
€20.37
+39.50%
23.22%€30.51€13.19n/a13
Jan ’27€15.50
€21.54
+38.94%
20.98%€30.88€14.89n/a13
Dec ’26€16.10
€21.54
+33.76%
20.98%€30.88€14.89n/a13
Nov ’26€17.20
€22.03
+28.09%
20.81%€31.52€15.20n/a13
Oct ’26€20.60
€22.32
+8.37%
20.98%€32.01€15.43n/a13
Sep ’26€20.80
€22.34
+7.42%
20.46%€32.48€15.66n/a13
Aug ’26€18.20
€22.28
+22.44%
20.23%€31.94€15.68n/a13
Jul ’26€18.70
€23.29
+24.57%
20.20%€33.12€15.72n/a13
Jun ’26€19.40
€23.50
+21.16%
20.20%€33.42€15.86€11.9013
May ’26€18.40
€23.92
+30.00%
18.04%€30.86€16.11€11.5013
Apr ’26€17.70
€26.70
+50.83%
17.60%€33.93€17.27€14.6013
Mar ’26€19.50
€27.62
+41.62%
16.55%€34.41€17.52€15.1012
Feb ’26€21.60
€27.77
+28.54%
17.01%€34.21€17.42€14.6012
Jan ’26€20.60
€27.49
+33.44%
18.07%€39.26€18.12€15.5013
Dec ’25€22.00
€27.49
+24.95%
18.07%€39.26€18.12€16.1013
Nov ’25€22.40
€27.86
+24.39%
17.57%€39.33€18.15€17.2013
Oct ’25€22.80
€31.71
+39.09%
16.86%€41.39€19.42€20.6014
Sep ’25€24.60
€30.98
+25.94%
15.74%€40.00€20.31€20.8014
Aug ’25€25.20
€32.08
+27.29%
14.82%€40.22€20.42€18.2014
Jul ’25€25.60
€31.25
+22.08%
13.94%€38.36€19.47€18.7013
Jun ’25€25.60
€31.67
+23.72%
14.57%€38.40€18.31€19.4014
€16.52
Fair Value
26.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/10 04:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. is covered by 27 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yuki OkishioBarclays
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research
Rudi WeiChina International Capital Corporation Limited