Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Erlebnis Akademie AG (FRA:EAD)?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 21, 2022
DB:EAD
Source: Shutterstock

Erlebnis Akademie AG (FRA:EAD), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the DB over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Erlebnis Akademie’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Erlebnis Akademie

What's the opportunity in Erlebnis Akademie?

Erlebnis Akademie appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 75.1x is currently well-above the industry average of 30.09x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Erlebnis Akademie’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Erlebnis Akademie generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
DB:EAD Earnings and Revenue Growth March 21st 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Erlebnis Akademie's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? EAD’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe EAD should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on EAD for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for EAD, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, Erlebnis Akademie has 5 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in Erlebnis Akademie, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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