Tortilla Mexican Grill plc

DB:73D Stock Report

Market Cap: €22.6m

Tortilla Mexican Grill Valuation

Is 73D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 73D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 73D (€0.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 73D is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 73D?

Key metric: As 73D is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 73D. This is calculated by dividing 73D's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 73D's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUK£64.48m
Market CapUK£18.79m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 73D's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 73D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
MS1 Marley Spoon Group
0.07x10.0%€13.3m
NHB0 Nebelhornbahn-Aktiengesellschaft
1.5xn/a€22.2m
ACX bet-at-home.com
0.4x9.0%€18.0m
RGB Regenbogen
0.7xn/a€16.1m
73D Tortilla Mexican Grill
0.3x11.6%€18.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 73D is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 73D's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MS1 Marley Spoon Group
0.07x10.0%US$13.85m
9UX Hostmore
0.0006xn/aUS$138.43k
No more companies available in this PS range
73D 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 73D is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 73D's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

73D PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 73D is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 73D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.56
€1.11
+99.1%
2.7%€1.14€1.08n/a2
Nov ’25€0.58
€1.11
+88.9%
2.7%€1.14€1.08n/a2
Oct ’25€0.57
€1.11
+92.5%
2.7%€1.14€1.08n/a2
Sep ’25€0.58
€1.10
+89.9%
2.7%€1.13€1.07n/a2
Aug ’25€0.60
€1.10
+82.0%
2.7%€1.13€1.07n/a2
Jul ’25€0.68
€1.23
+81.7%
9.5%€1.34€1.11n/a2
Jun ’25€0.59
€1.23
+107.9%
9.5%€1.34€1.11n/a2
May ’25€0.55
€1.23
+123.0%
9.5%€1.34€1.11n/a2
Apr ’25€0.56
€1.23
+121.0%
9.5%€1.34€1.11n/a2
Mar ’25€0.54
€1.23
+129.2%
9.5%€1.34€1.11n/a2
Feb ’25€0.46
€1.23
+165.4%
9.5%€1.35€1.11n/a2
Jan ’25€0.55
€1.21
+122.2%
9.5%€1.33€1.10n/a2
Dec ’24€0.62
€1.41
+127.9%
14.3%€1.61€1.21n/a2
Nov ’24€0.70
€1.41
+100.4%
14.3%€1.61€1.21€0.582
Oct ’24€0.78
€1.60
+106.4%
23.6%€1.98€1.22€0.572
Sep ’24€0.90
€1.60
+77.7%
23.6%€1.98€1.22€0.582
Aug ’24€0.91
€1.60
+75.8%
23.6%€1.98€1.22€0.602
Jul ’24€0.97
€1.57
+60.7%
23.6%€1.94€1.20€0.682
Jun ’24€1.07
€1.57
+46.4%
23.6%€1.94€1.20€0.592
May ’24€1.22
€1.57
+28.4%
23.6%€1.94€1.20€0.552
Apr ’24€1.30
€1.45
+11.7%
33.3%€1.94€0.97€0.562
Mar ’24€1.34
€1.45
+8.0%
33.3%€1.93€0.96€0.542
Feb ’24€1.18
€1.45
+22.6%
33.3%€1.93€0.96€0.462
Jan ’24€0.91
€1.47
+61.6%
33.3%€1.96€0.98€0.552
Dec ’23€1.07
€1.47
+37.4%
33.3%€1.96€0.98€0.622
Nov ’23€0.96
€1.47
+52.4%
33.3%€1.96€0.98€0.702

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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