Fosun Tourism Group Valuation

Is 6T8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6T8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6T8 (€0.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6T8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6T8?

Key metric: As 6T8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6T8. This is calculated by dividing 6T8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6T8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25x
EarningsCN¥157.20m
Market CapCN¥3.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6T8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6T8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average50.3x
IFA LS Invest
6.6xn/a€296.1m
7x17.3%€3.8b
TIMA ZEAL Network
19.9x-5.0%€935.6m
301073 SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd
167.9x58.1%CN¥4.2b
6T8 Fosun Tourism Group
25x36.9%€4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6T8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the peer average (50.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6T8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6T8 25.0xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6T8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6T8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6T8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25x
Fair PE Ratio28x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6T8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6T8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.40
€0.76
+92.1%
18.5%€0.96€0.58n/a5
Nov ’25€0.40
€0.76
+88.3%
18.5%€0.96€0.58n/a5
Oct ’25€0.48
€0.76
+57.8%
18.5%€0.96€0.58n/a5
Sep ’25€0.37
€0.81
+116.0%
13.4%€0.97€0.63n/a5
Aug ’25€0.40
€1.01
+151.3%
22.8%€1.33€0.63n/a6
Jul ’25€0.39
€1.03
+165.6%
22.8%€1.35€0.65n/a6
Jun ’25€0.44
€1.03
+132.7%
22.9%€1.36€0.64n/a6
May ’25€0.40
€1.03
+154.6%
22.9%€1.36€0.64n/a6
Apr ’25€0.38
€1.21
+220.7%
19.1%€1.50€0.80n/a7
Mar ’25€0.49
€1.33
+170.6%
11.2%€1.50€1.10n/a8
Feb ’25€0.47
€1.33
+183.3%
11.3%€1.51€1.09n/a8
Jan ’25€0.63
€1.38
+119.5%
10.5%€1.56€1.17n/a7
Dec ’24€0.66
€1.38
+108.9%
10.8%€1.55€1.16n/a7
Nov ’24€0.76
€1.47
+94.2%
10.0%€1.63€1.19€0.407
Oct ’24€0.87
€1.50
+72.8%
6.1%€1.62€1.32€0.487
Sep ’24€0.90
€1.51
+67.5%
7.2%€1.63€1.29€0.376
Aug ’24€0.94
€1.65
+75.4%
7.3%€1.81€1.42€0.407
Jul ’24€0.83
€1.71
+105.7%
6.7%€1.87€1.48€0.397
Jun ’24€0.82
€1.71
+108.2%
6.7%€1.87€1.48€0.447
May ’24€1.01
€1.71
+69.0%
6.7%€1.87€1.48€0.407
Apr ’24€1.15
€1.73
+50.5%
6.7%€1.90€1.50€0.387
Mar ’24€1.23
€1.82
+47.9%
3.9%€1.93€1.73€0.497
Feb ’24€1.32
€1.82
+37.8%
3.9%€1.93€1.73€0.477
Jan ’24€1.34
€1.72
+28.3%
10.7%€1.97€1.38€0.636
Dec ’23€1.07
€1.76
+64.7%
10.0%€2.04€1.43€0.667
Nov ’23€0.90
€1.82
+102.2%
6.5%€2.03€1.63€0.767

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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