Aramark

DB:0AK Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.5b

Aramark Valuation

Is 0AK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0AK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0AK (€36.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€35.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0AK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0AK?

Key metric: As 0AK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0AK. This is calculated by dividing 0AK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0AK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio37.6x
EarningsUS$262.52m
Market CapUS$9.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0AK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0AK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
TUI1 TUI
8.3x16.5%€4.2b
TIMA ZEAL Network
22.2x-11.8%€1.0b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
31.3x12.5%US$11.9b
7550 Zensho Holdings
38x19.8%JP¥1.5t
0AK Aramark
37.6x20.1%€9.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0AK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0AK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0AK 37.6xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0AK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0AK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0AK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.6x
Fair PE Ratio34.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0AK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0AK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.20
€42.65
+17.8%
5.4%€46.72€36.64n/a15
Dec ’25€38.40
€41.69
+8.6%
5.3%€44.84€36.66n/a15
Nov ’25€34.40
€37.44
+8.8%
5.4%€41.79€34.90n/a15
Oct ’25€35.40
€35.86
+1.3%
3.5%€38.24€34.19n/a14
Sep ’25€33.00
€34.52
+4.6%
4.0%€36.19€31.27n/a15
Aug ’25€30.80
€34.01
+10.4%
5.9%€37.38€29.90n/a16
Jul ’25€31.20
€34.01
+9.0%
5.9%€37.38€29.90n/a16
Jun ’25€28.60
€32.86
+14.9%
3.6%€34.44€29.78n/a16
May ’25€29.40
€32.43
+10.3%
5.1%€34.82€28.23n/a16
Apr ’25€30.00
€31.47
+4.9%
5.1%€33.88€27.47n/a16
Mar ’25€28.40
€31.64
+11.4%
4.8%€33.27€27.72n/a16
Feb ’25€27.00
€29.38
+8.8%
5.7%€32.17€25.73n/a17
Jan ’25€25.00
€29.20
+16.8%
6.0%€32.17€25.74n/a15
Dec ’24€25.40
€28.98
+14.1%
7.2%€32.09€23.84€38.4014
Nov ’24€25.60
€30.12
+17.6%
9.7%€34.56€25.56€34.4013
Oct ’24€32.60
€42.50
+30.4%
9.8%€47.30€31.21€35.4015
Sep ’24€35.40
€42.73
+20.7%
6.7%€46.42€35.28€33.0015
Aug ’24€36.60
€40.11
+9.6%
9.0%€45.20€32.54€30.8015
Jul ’24€39.40
€40.03
+1.6%
9.2%€45.91€33.05€31.2015
Jun ’24€36.20
€40.63
+12.2%
9.5%€46.47€33.46€28.6014
May ’24€31.20
€40.37
+29.4%
11.9%€50.13€32.81€29.4014
Apr ’24€32.80
€41.58
+26.8%
11.4%€51.06€33.42€30.0014
Mar ’24€34.80
€42.92
+23.3%
10.0%€51.88€33.96€28.4014
Feb ’24€40.20
€42.37
+5.4%
10.1%€50.62€33.13€27.0014
Jan ’24€38.20
€41.48
+8.6%
10.5%€48.08€33.94€25.0015
Dec ’23€39.20
€42.25
+7.8%
10.5%€49.50€33.00€25.4015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 11:55
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/27
Annual Earnings2024/09/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aramark is covered by 25 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew WittmannBaird
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Stuart GordonBerenberg