Haidilao International Holding Ltd.

SEHK:6862 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$94.0b

Haidilao International Holding Valuation

Is 6862 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6862 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6862 (HK$16.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$24.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6862 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6862?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6862 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.9x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6862's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6862 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.3x
3690 Meituan
37.6x36.3%HK$563.9b
9658 Super Hi International Holding
40.7x46.3%HK$8.2b
9922 Jiumaojiu International Holdings
15.4x20.1%HK$7.6b
341 Café de Coral Holdings
23.6x37.3%HK$4.8b
6862 Haidilao International Holding
19.3x10.0%HK$94.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6862 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (29.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6862's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6862 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the Hong Kong Hospitality industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6862's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6862 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio15.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6862 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6862 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$16.86
HK$20.65
+22.5%
24.4%HK$31.22HK$10.40n/a28
Mar ’25HK$14.30
HK$20.82
+45.6%
26.8%HK$31.37HK$10.45n/a28
Feb ’25HK$12.82
HK$21.39
+66.9%
25.8%HK$31.47HK$10.48n/a28
Jan ’25HK$14.54
HK$23.91
+64.4%
19.5%HK$31.70HK$13.89n/a28
Dec ’24HK$14.88
HK$24.44
+64.2%
18.2%HK$31.57HK$13.92n/a27
Nov ’24HK$17.06
HK$24.54
+43.9%
15.7%HK$30.83HK$13.59n/a27
Oct ’24HK$21.00
HK$24.59
+17.1%
15.4%HK$30.84HK$13.59n/a27
Sep ’24HK$21.35
HK$24.40
+14.3%
15.8%HK$29.01HK$13.74n/a28
Aug ’24HK$22.15
HK$22.65
+2.2%
16.2%HK$27.48HK$13.65n/a27
Jul ’24HK$17.24
HK$22.42
+30.1%
13.3%HK$26.88HK$16.09n/a26
Jun ’24HK$16.18
HK$23.04
+42.4%
13.1%HK$27.42HK$16.42n/a26
May ’24HK$19.06
HK$23.98
+25.8%
13.5%HK$28.46HK$17.04n/a24
Apr ’24HK$21.25
HK$22.38
+5.3%
18.0%HK$28.12HK$14.01n/a24
Mar ’24HK$22.50
HK$21.57
-4.1%
17.5%HK$28.10HK$14.02HK$14.3025
Feb ’24HK$21.35
HK$20.81
-2.5%
18.1%HK$27.95HK$14.29HK$12.8223
Jan ’24HK$22.40
HK$18.96
-15.4%
14.2%HK$26.03HK$13.79HK$14.5423
Dec ’23HK$18.90
HK$18.36
-2.9%
12.0%HK$20.96HK$13.42HK$14.8823
Nov ’23HK$13.18
HK$17.78
+34.9%
13.2%HK$20.94HK$12.03HK$17.0623
Oct ’23HK$15.40
HK$17.83
+15.8%
13.3%HK$21.22HK$12.19HK$21.0023
Sep ’23HK$17.70
HK$18.33
+3.5%
14.8%HK$22.15HK$12.67HK$21.3524
Aug ’23HK$16.02
HK$16.31
+1.8%
15.6%HK$22.69HK$12.00HK$22.1524
Jul ’23HK$18.30
HK$15.99
-12.6%
14.8%HK$22.85HK$12.00HK$17.2424
Jun ’23HK$15.44
HK$16.14
+4.6%
14.3%HK$23.01HK$13.03HK$16.1824
May ’23HK$15.66
HK$16.57
+5.8%
15.4%HK$23.31HK$12.68HK$19.0624
Apr ’23HK$14.86
HK$17.68
+19.0%
21.9%HK$28.39HK$13.01HK$21.2524
Mar ’23HK$18.06
HK$20.26
+12.2%
17.4%HK$28.55HK$13.66HK$22.5022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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