Stock Analysis

Individual investors who have a significant stake must be disappointed along with institutions after TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) market cap dropped by €113m

XTRA:TUI1
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Key Insights

  • TUI's significant individual investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 47% ownership
  • Insider ownership in TUI is 11%

A look at the shareholders of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) can tell us which group is most powerful. We can see that individual investors own the lion's share in the company with 50% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

While institutions who own 36% came under pressure after market cap dropped to €3.4b last week,individual investors took the most losses.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about TUI.

See our latest analysis for TUI

ownership-breakdown
XTRA:TUI1 Ownership Breakdown June 16th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About TUI?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in TUI. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of TUI, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:TUI1 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 16th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in TUI. The company's largest shareholder is Alexey Mordashov, with ownership of 11%. With 4.3% and 3.9% of the shares outstanding respectively, The Vanguard Group, Inc. and UBS Asset Management AG are the second and third largest shareholders.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of TUI

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in TUI AG. It is very interesting to see that insiders have a meaningful €378m stake in this €3.4b business. Most would be pleased to see the board is investing alongside them. You may wish to access this free chart showing recent trading by insiders.

General Public Ownership

With a 50% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over TUI. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand TUI better, we need to consider many other factors.

Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TUI might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.