Stock Analysis

Delivery Hero (ETR:DHER) adds €721m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from three years ago are still down 68%

XTRA:DHER
Source: Shutterstock

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Delivery Hero SE (ETR:DHER) share price has gained some 61% in the last three months. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Regrettably, the share price slid 68% in that period. So it is really good to see an improvement. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last three years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

See our latest analysis for Delivery Hero

Because Delivery Hero made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last three years, Delivery Hero saw its revenue grow by 28% per year, compound. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. The share price has moved in quite the opposite direction, down 19% over that time, a bad result. It seems likely that the market is worried about the continual losses. But a share price drop of that magnitude could well signal that the market is overly negative on the stock.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:DHER Earnings and Revenue Growth November 25th 2024

Delivery Hero is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Delivery Hero will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Delivery Hero has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 20% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 4% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Delivery Hero you should be aware of.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.