Dada Nexus Valuation

Is D0A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of D0A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate D0A's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate D0A's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for D0A?

Key metric: As D0A is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for D0A. This is calculated by dividing D0A's market cap by their current revenue.
What is D0A's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCN¥9.98b
Market CapCN¥2.60b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does D0A's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for D0A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
HAW Hawesko Holding
0.4x3.1%€229.1m
B4B Metro
0.05x2.7%€1.5b
K7L Dispensa Group
0.4xn/a€2.1m
HFG HelloFresh
0.3x3.2%€2.0b
D0A Dada Nexus
0.3x12.1%€355.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: D0A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does D0A's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
D0A 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies13PS00.40.81.21.62+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: D0A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is D0A's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

D0A PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: D0A is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst D0A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.32
€2.48
+87.9%
62.1%€6.42€1.40n/a12
Dec ’25€1.32
€2.49
+88.8%
61.6%€6.42€1.40n/a12
Nov ’25€1.59
€2.53
+59.1%
62.7%€6.36€1.19n/a12
Oct ’25€1.71
€2.40
+40.6%
66.7%€6.25€1.17n/a12
Sep ’25€0.98
€2.42
+146.2%
66.5%€6.30€1.18n/a12
Aug ’25€1.24
€2.70
+118.0%
66.7%€6.31€0.93n/a11
Jul ’25€1.19
€3.70
+211.0%
62.8%€8.71€1.67n/a12
Jun ’25€1.57
€3.65
+132.5%
62.8%€8.63€1.66n/a12
May ’25€1.93
€3.93
+103.8%
55.0%€8.75€1.66n/a12
Apr ’25€1.96
€4.22
+115.2%
50.1%€8.70€1.65n/a12
Mar ’25€1.97
€5.40
+174.1%
61.1%€13.92€1.61n/a13
Feb ’25€1.77
€5.41
+205.5%
60.4%€13.86€1.61n/a13
Jan ’25€3.16
€6.46
+104.4%
40.2%€13.81€3.61n/a15
Dec ’24€2.88
€6.49
+125.2%
39.9%€13.81€3.61€1.3215
Nov ’24€3.66
€7.77
+112.3%
31.1%€14.19€4.52€1.5913
Oct ’24€4.08
€9.36
+129.5%
22.8%€14.03€5.15€1.7113
Sep ’24€5.05
€9.22
+82.6%
21.9%€13.83€5.07€0.9814
Aug ’24€6.00
€10.20
+70.1%
18.2%€13.68€7.06€1.2414
Jul ’24€4.96
€10.90
+119.7%
12.5%€13.23€7.61€1.1914
Jun ’24€4.44
€11.45
+157.8%
15.6%€15.45€7.92€1.5713
May ’24€5.25
€13.66
+160.1%
18.0%€18.09€8.80€1.9313
Apr ’24€7.95
€15.06
+89.4%
13.9%€18.77€11.44€1.9612
Mar ’24€8.50
€14.70
+73.0%
24.7%€18.52€5.56€1.9712
Feb ’24€12.00
€14.60
+21.7%
25.9%€18.51€5.56€1.7712
Jan ’24€6.60
€10.68
+61.9%
45.5%€19.57€5.56€3.1612
Dec ’23€5.95
€10.64
+78.8%
45.5%€19.48€5.53€2.8812

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 13:34
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Dada Nexus Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lei ZhangBofA Global Research
Yang BaiChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Jiulu LiChina International Capital Corporation Limited