Woolworths Group Limited

DB:WWR Stock Report

Market Cap: €22.2b

Woolworths Group Valuation

Is WWR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WWR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WWR (€18.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WWR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WWR?

Key metric: As WWR is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for WWR. This is calculated by dividing WWR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is WWR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesAU$67.92b
Market CapAU$37.22b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does WWR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for WWR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
HFG HelloFresh
0.3x3.2%€2.0b
HAW Hawesko Holding
0.4x3.1%€229.1m
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels
0.09xn/a€57.4m
WN George Weston
0.5x3.2%CA$29.7b
WWR Woolworths Group
0.5x3.3%€37.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: WWR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does WWR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WWR 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies13PS00.40.81.21.62+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: WWR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WWR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WWR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: WWR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WWR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.20
€19.75
+8.5%
7.0%€22.23€17.26n/a15
Dec ’25€18.40
€20.16
+9.6%
7.3%€22.96€17.54n/a15
Nov ’25€17.90
€19.88
+11.0%
7.5%€22.59€17.26n/a14
Oct ’25€20.60
€22.05
+7.0%
7.9%€24.69€16.94n/a15
Sep ’25€21.60
€22.15
+2.5%
7.7%€24.61€16.88n/a15
Aug ’25€20.80
€21.24
+2.1%
9.4%€24.23€16.58n/a15
Jul ’25€20.60
€21.37
+3.7%
10.1%€24.97€17.08n/a15
Jun ’25€19.00
€20.86
+9.8%
10.1%€24.51€16.89n/a15
May ’25€19.30
€21.47
+11.2%
9.2%€24.68€16.80n/a15
Apr ’25€19.83
€21.38
+7.9%
9.0%€24.36€16.58n/a15
Mar ’25€19.70
€21.76
+10.4%
9.0%€24.47€16.66n/a14
Feb ’25€21.50
€23.36
+8.6%
9.9%€26.19€16.79n/a14
Jan ’25€22.76
€23.11
+1.6%
10.3%€26.02€16.80n/a15
Dec ’24€20.80
€22.54
+8.4%
10.6%€25.44€16.42€18.4015
Nov ’24€21.05
€22.54
+7.1%
10.6%€25.44€16.42€17.9015
Oct ’24€22.80
€23.35
+2.4%
11.3%€25.96€16.57€20.6015
Sep ’24€22.60
€23.06
+2.0%
11.1%€25.67€16.38€21.6016
Aug ’24€23.50
€23.55
+0.2%
12.1%€26.28€16.50€20.8016
Jul ’24€23.96
€23.60
-1.5%
12.6%€26.33€16.53€20.6016
Jun ’24€23.20
€23.37
+0.7%
12.0%€26.04€16.35€19.0015
May ’24€23.07
€22.98
-0.4%
11.7%€25.86€16.24€19.3015
Apr ’24€23.20
€24.05
+3.6%
12.2%€27.42€17.22€19.8316
Mar ’24€23.20
€24.05
+3.6%
12.2%€27.42€17.22€19.7016
Feb ’24€23.20
€23.00
-0.9%
11.4%€27.08€17.21€21.5016
Jan ’24€21.20
€22.17
+4.6%
11.7%€26.30€16.71€22.7616
Dec ’23€22.40
€22.63
+1.0%
11.9%€26.95€17.13€20.8016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 21:51
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Woolworths Group Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Anthony VogelAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited