Woolworths Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Woolworths Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29.7% and 3.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 30.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30.5% in 3 years.

Key information

29.7%

Earnings growth rate

30.1%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	13.7%
Revenue growth rate	3.3%
Future return on equity	30.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:WWR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	74,934	1,945	2,445	4,659	14
6/30/2026	72,047	1,750	2,324	4,346	15
6/30/2025	69,231	1,553	2,176	4,055	15
6/30/2024	67,922	108	1,811	4,359	N/A
3/31/2024	66,841	50	2,219	4,773	N/A
12/31/2023	65,760	-8	2,627	5,187	N/A
9/30/2023	65,027	805	2,431	4,971	N/A
6/25/2023	64,294	1,618	2,235	4,754	N/A
1/1/2023	62,124	1,716	1,250	3,796	N/A
10/1/2022	61,487	1,632	1,106	3,587	N/A
6/26/2022	60,849	1,547	962	3,378	N/A
1/2/2022	58,092	1,406	947	3,475	N/A
10/2/2021	56,913	1,474	1,591	4,050	N/A
6/27/2021	55,733	1,541	2,235	4,624	N/A
1/3/2021	50,205	818	3,114	5,380	N/A
10/3/2020	51,643	856	2,763	4,971	N/A
6/28/2020	53,080	894	2,412	4,561	N/A
3/28/2020	62,741	1,321	N/A	N/A	N/A
1/5/2020	61,807	1,477	1,117	2,994	N/A
10/5/2019	60,896	1,485	1,037	2,971	N/A
6/30/2019	59,984	1,492	957	2,948	N/A
3/31/2019	58,804	1,549	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/30/2018	57,624	1,605	1,060	3,034	N/A
9/30/2018	57,284	1,605	1,103	3,014	N/A
6/24/2018	56,944	1,605	N/A	2,994	N/A
12/31/2017	56,110	1,538	N/A	2,901	N/A
9/30/2017	55,572	1,480	N/A	3,012	N/A
6/25/2017	55,034	1,422	N/A	3,122	N/A
1/1/2017	54,077	574	N/A	3,301	N/A
10/1/2016	53,870	1,225	N/A	2,829	N/A
6/26/2016	53,664	1,876	N/A	2,358	N/A
1/3/2016	54,880	3,117	N/A	3,090	N/A
10/3/2015	56,940	2,713	N/A	3,217	N/A
6/28/2015	59,001	2,309	N/A	3,345	N/A
3/28/2015	61,212	2,278	N/A	3,141	N/A
1/4/2015	61,556	2,410	N/A	2,937	N/A
10/4/2014	61,254	2,431	N/A	3,205	N/A
6/29/2014	60,952	2,452	N/A	3,473	N/A
3/29/2014	60,721	2,402	N/A	3,017	N/A
1/5/2014	60,489	2,353	N/A	2,562	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WWR's forecast earnings growth (29.7% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: WWR's earnings (29.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: WWR's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: WWR's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WWR's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WWR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30.5%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 21:51
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Woolworths Group Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Anthony Vogel	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas Kierath	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Woolworths Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Woolworths Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2023 and for the First Half of Fiscal Year 2024

Recent updates

Woolworths Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 31, 2024

Final dividend of AU$0.97 announced

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.089 (vs AU$1.33 in FY 2023)

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Special Dividend, Payable on or Around 30 September 2024

Woolworths Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 27, 2025

First half dividend of AU$0.47 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.64 loss per share (vs AU$0.70 profit in 1H 2023)

Woolworths Group Announces Executive Changes

Woolworths Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2023 and for the First Half of Fiscal Year 2024

Woolworths Group Limited Declares Fully Franked Final Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 25, 2023, Payable on September 27, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.33 (vs AU$1.27 in FY 2022)

Woolworths Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 21, 2024

Woolworths Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 26, 2023

Woolworths Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 26, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.67 (vs AU$0.55 in 1H 2022)

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Board Appointments, Effective 1 March 2023

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Board Appointments, Effective 1 March 2023

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) entered into an agreement to acquire to acquire 55% stake in Petspiration Group for approximately AUD 1.2 billion.

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Executive Appointments

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold €5.8m worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$1.27 (vs AU$1.23 in FY 2021)

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Distribution for the Six Months Ended June 26, 2022, Payable on September 27, 2022

Woolworths Group Announces Resignation of Claire Peters, Managing Director B2B & Everyday Needs

Woolworths Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 22, 2023

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) agreed to acquire a 80% stake in MyDeal.com.au Limited (ASX:MYD) from Sean Senvirtne for approximately AUD 220 million.

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) agreed to acquire a 80% stake in MyDeal.com.au Limited (ASX:MYD) for approximately AUD 220 million .

Woolworths Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 26, 2022

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Woolworths Group Limited Declares Dividend for the Six Months Ended February 2, 2022, Payable on April 13, 2022

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) made a non-binding proposal to acquire Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (ASX:API) for approximately AUD 860 million.

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) announces an Equity Buyback for AUD 2,000 million worth of its shares.

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust (ASX:CQR) agreed to acquire Butler Central Shopping Centre in Butler from Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) for AUD 51.2 million.

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) completed the acquisition of additional 28% stake in The Quantium Group Pty Lmited.

Revenue misses expectations

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.91 (vs AU$0.71 in 1H 2020)

New 90-day high: €25.60

New 90-day high: €24.60

MD, CEO & Executive Director recently sold €1.2m worth of stock

New 90-day high: €24.20

Woolworths Group Limited Appointment of Maxine Brenner as Non-Executive Director

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Changes of Company Secretary

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Cessation of Jillian Broadbent Ac as Director

Woolworths Group Limited Announces Executive Changes

Shopping Centres Australasia Property Group (ASX:SCP) completed the acquisition of The Bakewell Shopping Centre in Palmerston from Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW).

United Star Supermarkets Ltd. signed a heads of agreement to acquire Australian Independent Wholesalers Pty Ltd. from Woolworths Ltd.

Full year earnings released

Woolworths Group Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 24, 2021

New 90-day high - €24.40

Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW) agreed to acquire 65% stake in PFD Food Services Pty Ltd. from Smith family for approximately AUD 300 million.

Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) completed the acquisition of 100% freehold interest in Prestons Place and Rosenthal Shopping Centre and 87.4% freehold interest in Vincentia Marketplace from Woolworths Group Limited (ASX:WOW).