DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited

DB:DFA1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.4b

DFI Retail Group Holdings Valuation

Is DFA1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFA1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DFA1 (€1.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DFA1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFA1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DFA1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.3x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFA1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFA1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
HAW Hawesko Holding
39.7x34.8%€282.1m
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels
15.5xn/a€66.7m
8279 YaokoLtd
20.3x8.8%JP¥370.1b
600827 Shanghai Bailian (Group)
37.2x20.9%CN¥13.3b
DFA1 DFI Retail Group Holdings
79.5x41.3%€2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFA1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.5x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFA1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFA1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (79.5x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFA1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFA1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio79.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DFA1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFA1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.66
€2.44
+46.9%
12.2%€2.90€1.99n/a8
Jun ’25€1.61
€2.45
+52.3%
10.5%€2.88€2.12n/a8
May ’25€1.77
€2.45
+38.5%
10.5%€2.88€2.12n/a8
Apr ’25€1.92
€2.45
+27.7%
10.5%€2.88€2.12n/a8
Mar ’25€1.84
€2.79
+51.8%
9.6%€3.22€2.31n/a7
Feb ’25€1.82
€2.98
+63.9%
9.0%€3.52€2.69n/a8
Jan ’25€2.06
€2.98
+44.8%
9.0%€3.52€2.69n/a8
Dec ’24€2.02
€2.97
+47.0%
9.0%€3.50€2.67n/a8
Nov ’24€1.94
€3.00
+54.6%
9.1%€3.46€2.64n/a8
Oct ’24€2.42
€3.00
+24.0%
9.1%€3.46€2.64n/a8
Sep ’24€2.20
€3.00
+36.4%
9.1%€3.46€2.64n/a8
Aug ’24€2.34
€3.00
+28.2%
9.1%€3.46€2.64n/a8
Jul ’24€2.48
€3.22
+29.7%
7.3%€3.49€2.84n/a8
Jun ’24€2.54
€3.32
+30.7%
9.1%€3.77€2.86€1.618
May ’24€2.68
€3.27
+21.9%
8.5%€3.69€2.80€1.779
Apr ’24€2.76
€3.39
+22.7%
8.5%€3.81€2.89€1.929
Mar ’24€2.96
€2.78
-6.1%
20.9%€3.63€2.09€1.849
Feb ’24€2.94
€2.74
-6.9%
18.5%€3.71€2.13€1.829
Jan ’24€2.70
€2.60
-3.6%
16.2%€3.67€2.11€2.069
Dec ’23€2.38
€2.61
+9.7%
9.2%€3.00€2.19€2.029
Nov ’23€2.30
€2.75
+19.5%
7.5%€3.05€2.31€1.949
Oct ’23€2.30
€2.67
+16.3%
4.9%€2.90€2.45€2.429
Sep ’23€2.66
€2.67
+0.5%
4.9%€2.90€2.45€2.209
Aug ’23€2.64
€2.69
+2.1%
3.9%€2.89€2.54€2.349
Jul ’23€2.74
€2.73
-0.4%
5.1%€3.03€2.56€2.489
Jun ’23€2.50
€2.70
+8.1%
4.5%€2.98€2.52€2.549

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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