BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

DB:8BJ Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.0b

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Valuation

Is 8BJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8BJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8BJ (€90.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€131.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8BJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8BJ?

Key metric: As 8BJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8BJ. This is calculated by dividing 8BJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8BJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.3x
EarningsUS$557.63m
Market CapUS$12.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8BJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8BJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.1x
CA Carrefour
10.9x14.0%€9.1b
DG Dollar General
12.5x6.8%US$16.7b
8267 Aeon
117.6x19.9%JP¥3.2t
CENCOSUD Cencosud
27.3x30.8%CL$6.2t
8BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
22.3x7.1%€12.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8BJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (42.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8BJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8BJ 22.3xIndustry Avg. 15.1xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8BJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8BJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8BJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8BJ's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8BJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€90.50
€94.70
+4.6%
13.6%€110.96€62.72n/a21
Dec ’25€90.50
€91.68
+1.3%
12.9%€108.85€61.52n/a21
Nov ’25€78.00
€78.45
+0.6%
10.2%€86.55€57.40n/a21
Oct ’25€76.00
€77.62
+2.1%
10.1%€85.01€56.37n/a20
Sep ’25€72.00
€78.03
+8.4%
10.3%€85.78€56.88n/a19
Aug ’25€81.50
€80.07
-1.8%
10.3%€89.10€62.46n/a18
Jul ’25€80.50
€80.65
+0.2%
10.3%€90.27€63.28n/a18
Jun ’25€81.00
€79.73
-1.6%
10.3%€89.40€62.68n/a18
May ’25€70.00
€77.27
+10.4%
9.5%€87.37€63.89n/a19
Apr ’25€69.50
€76.62
+10.2%
9.4%€86.58€63.31n/a19
Mar ’25€65.50
€68.65
+4.8%
9.8%€83.05€57.21n/a18
Feb ’25€60.00
€68.63
+14.4%
10.3%€83.10€53.55n/a18
Jan ’25€61.00
€68.09
+11.6%
10.4%€82.44€53.13n/a18
Dec ’24€60.00
€68.22
+13.7%
10.8%€82.48€53.15€90.5018
Nov ’24€64.50
€71.58
+11.0%
10.2%€84.77€58.40€78.0018
Oct ’24€67.50
€71.34
+5.7%
10.0%€84.23€58.03€76.0018
Sep ’24€60.50
€69.75
+15.3%
10.1%€82.85€57.07€72.0018
Aug ’24€60.50
€69.87
+15.5%
10.0%€81.43€56.10€81.5018
Jul ’24€57.50
€71.00
+23.5%
9.9%€82.63€56.92€80.5018
Jun ’24€57.50
€72.19
+25.5%
9.7%€83.89€57.79€81.0018
May ’24€69.00
€76.16
+10.4%
9.0%€84.77€61.07€70.0018
Apr ’24€69.50
€76.66
+10.3%
8.9%€85.27€61.43€69.5018
Mar ’24€67.00
€74.96
+11.9%
8.9%€84.28€60.87€65.5018
Feb ’24€67.50
€72.72
+7.7%
9.0%€81.93€59.17€60.0017
Jan ’24€61.50
€75.70
+23.1%
9.1%€84.79€61.24€61.0017
Dec ’23€67.00
€78.77
+17.6%
9.3%€91.33€62.49€60.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 17:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/11/02
Annual Earnings2024/02/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter BenedictBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Karen ShortBarclays