Redcare Pharmacy Valuation

Is RDC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RDC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RDC (€125.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€365.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RDC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RDC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RDC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA143.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RDC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RDC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
B4B Metro
0.06x3.0%€1.8b
HFG HelloFresh
0.1x4.4%€1.0b
603883 LBX Pharmacy Chain
0.9x16.6%CN¥19.6b
603233 DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group
1x17.8%CN¥24.8b
RDC Redcare Pharmacy
1.3x17.0%€2.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RDC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RDC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RDC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (0.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RDC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RDC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RDC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RDC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€125.40
€155.18
+23.7%
17.3%€190.00€109.00n/a11
Apr ’25€151.65
€153.45
+1.2%
16.7%€190.00€109.00n/a11
Mar ’25€130.00
€146.17
+12.4%
20.3%€190.00€90.00n/a12
Feb ’25€132.15
€142.00
+7.5%
20.3%€190.00€90.00n/a12
Jan ’25€131.60
€132.00
+0.3%
18.8%€172.00€90.00n/a12
Dec ’24€126.25
€129.00
+2.2%
18.4%€172.00€90.00n/a11
Nov ’24€105.80
€126.64
+19.7%
17.6%€160.00€90.00n/a11
Oct ’24€101.00
€123.64
+22.4%
19.9%€160.00€72.00n/a11
Sep ’24€106.10
€118.17
+11.4%
25.2%€160.00€58.00n/a12
Aug ’24€116.05
€110.08
-5.1%
25.5%€150.00€52.00n/a12
Jul ’24€94.84
€102.25
+7.8%
29.2%€150.00€42.00n/a12
Jun ’24€93.54
€99.08
+5.9%
32.3%€150.00€42.00n/a12
May ’24€90.48
€90.77
+0.3%
36.6%€150.00€32.00€127.0013
Apr ’24€83.42
€84.85
+1.7%
37.9%€140.00€32.00€151.6513
Mar ’24€66.58
€81.92
+23.0%
35.8%€140.00€32.00€130.0013
Feb ’24€64.94
€84.57
+30.2%
33.1%€140.00€32.00€132.1514
Jan ’24€44.11
€86.43
+95.9%
32.9%€140.00€32.00€131.6014
Dec ’23€47.92
€86.43
+80.4%
32.9%€140.00€32.00€126.2514
Nov ’23€45.12
€93.43
+107.1%
34.8%€146.00€34.00€105.8014
Oct ’23€41.45
€114.31
+175.8%
22.1%€155.00€78.00€101.0013
Sep ’23€51.36
€116.15
+126.2%
21.7%€155.00€78.00€106.1013
Aug ’23€96.38
€122.23
+26.8%
24.5%€170.00€79.00€116.0513
Jul ’23€85.40
€131.43
+53.9%
25.3%€201.00€79.00€94.8414
Jun ’23€95.82
€136.14
+42.1%
27.7%€201.00€79.00€93.5414
May ’23€79.12
€136.92
+73.1%
29.6%€201.00€79.00€90.4813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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