V.F Valuation

Is VFP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VFP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VFP (€18.99) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VFP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VFP?

Key metric: As VFP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VFP. This is calculated by dividing VFP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VFP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$10.09b
Market CapUS$7.95b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VFP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VFP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
BOSS Hugo Boss
0.6x4.4%€2.6b
ADS adidas
1.8x8.4%€39.6b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
0.8xn/a€264.5m
PUM PUMA
0.8x7.0%€6.7b
VFP V.F
0.8x2.0%€8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VFP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VFP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VFP 0.8xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies17PS00.61.21.82.43+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VFP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VFP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VFP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VFP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VFP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€18.99
€20.74
+9.2%
26.0%€36.93€12.31n/a19
Nov ’25€18.78
€20.00
+6.5%
27.3%€35.86€9.19n/a20
Oct ’25€17.59
€16.91
-3.9%
31.8%€34.89€8.95n/a19
Sep ’25€16.32
€16.68
+2.2%
32.8%€34.85€8.94n/a18
Aug ’25€15.60
€15.24
-2.3%
41.3%€36.14€8.34n/a20
Jul ’25€12.45
€13.87
+11.3%
56.4%€44.25€5.53n/a21
Jun ’25€12.30
€13.87
+12.7%
56.4%€44.25€5.53n/a21
May ’25€11.90
€17.13
+43.9%
45.5%€49.54€11.22n/a22
Apr ’25€14.20
€17.22
+21.2%
42.9%€48.96€12.01n/a23
Mar ’25€15.04
€17.03
+13.2%
43.9%€49.19€12.07n/a22
Feb ’25€15.20
€18.55
+22.1%
42.6%€52.75€12.03n/a22
Jan ’25€17.12
€19.00
+11.0%
43.3%€51.93€13.67n/a21
Dec ’24€15.44
€19.14
+24.0%
43.5%€52.55€13.83n/a21
Nov ’24€12.44
€19.97
+60.5%
44.7%€53.94€14.19€18.7820
Oct ’24€16.74
€23.88
+42.7%
35.8%€56.75€17.03€17.5920
Sep ’24€18.68
€23.24
+24.4%
35.2%€54.84€16.45€16.3220
Aug ’24€17.74
€23.81
+34.2%
34.7%€54.56€16.37€15.6020
Jul ’24€17.60
€24.01
+36.4%
34.3%€54.81€16.44€12.4520
Jun ’24€15.68
€24.58
+56.8%
34.1%€55.93€16.78€12.3020
May ’24€21.05
€26.78
+27.2%
28.8%€54.33€16.30€11.9020
Apr ’24€20.40
€27.73
+36.0%
28.8%€55.31€16.59€14.2019
Mar ’24€23.53
€29.16
+23.9%
25.6%€56.56€18.85€15.0421
Feb ’24€28.29
€28.89
+2.1%
25.8%€56.11€21.16€15.2021
Jan ’24€25.50
€30.58
+20.0%
25.2%€58.26€21.97€17.1221
Dec ’23€32.08
€33.14
+3.3%
25.6%€58.90€24.70€15.4421
Nov ’23€28.41
€35.58
+25.2%
25.0%€62.77€26.32€12.4421

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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