Mohawk Industries Valuation

Is MWK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MWK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MWK (€113) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€418.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MWK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MWK?

Key metric: As MWK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MWK. This is calculated by dividing MWK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MWK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsUS$563.98m
Market CapUS$7.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MWK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MWK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.9x
SUR Surteco Group
35x27.8%€307.0m
PUM PUMA
26.1x18.5%€6.7b
BOSS Hugo Boss
14.2x13.3%€3.1b
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.2x9.2%€713.4m
MWK Mohawk Industries
13.4x15.1%€7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MWK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MWK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MWK 13.4xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MWK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MWK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MWK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MWK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MWK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€113.00
€148.31
+31.2%
10.7%€176.40€127.77n/a15
Dec ’25€130.00
€144.29
+11.0%
10.4%€170.09€123.20n/a15
Nov ’25€122.00
€144.29
+18.3%
10.4%€170.09€123.20n/a15
Oct ’25€143.00
€147.83
+3.4%
10.1%€165.54€125.27n/a15
Sep ’25€137.00
€148.79
+8.6%
11.8%€169.52€116.18n/a15
Aug ’25€148.00
€148.12
+0.08%
13.3%€170.92€114.56n/a15
Jul ’25€104.00
€118.16
+13.6%
8.1%€135.49€100.92n/a15
Jun ’25€108.00
€119.10
+10.3%
11.1%€153.27€100.32n/a14
May ’25€109.00
€120.10
+10.2%
11.1%€153.90€100.73n/a15
Apr ’25€118.00
€115.79
-1.9%
13.6%€152.34€92.33n/a16
Mar ’25€108.00
€115.02
+6.5%
13.4%€153.80€93.21n/a15
Feb ’25€97.50
€101.93
+4.5%
15.7%€152.34€86.79n/a15
Jan ’25€94.00
€92.51
-1.6%
20.4%€148.58€72.04n/a15
Dec ’24€81.00
€88.82
+9.7%
13.6%€118.11€75.59€130.0014
Nov ’24€75.00
€88.82
+18.4%
13.6%€118.11€75.59€122.0014
Oct ’24€80.50
€111.52
+38.5%
10.5%€121.67€86.10€143.0013
Sep ’24€94.00
€107.31
+14.2%
10.8%€118.22€83.66€137.0014
Aug ’24€96.00
€107.31
+11.8%
10.8%€118.22€83.66€148.0014
Jul ’24€95.00
€108.76
+14.5%
10.4%€129.98€88.20€104.0014
Jun ’24€86.00
€108.76
+26.5%
10.4%€129.98€88.20€108.0014
May ’24€95.50
€107.49
+12.6%
10.3%€127.61€86.59€109.0014
Apr ’24€89.50
€111.92
+25.1%
11.7%€131.28€81.58€118.0014
Mar ’24€96.50
€112.49
+16.6%
11.3%€131.47€81.70€108.0014
Feb ’24€110.00
€105.56
-4.0%
13.1%€125.38€76.52€97.5014
Jan ’24€95.00
€100.37
+5.7%
13.6%€122.43€77.23€94.0014
Dec ’23€98.50
€108.74
+10.4%
12.7%€131.59€83.00€81.0014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 12:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mohawk Industries, Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Stephen KimBarclays