Hermès International Société en commandite par actions

DB:HMI Stock Report

Market Cap: €246.1b

Hermès International Société en commandite par actions Valuation

Is HMI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HMI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HMI (€2301) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€981.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HMI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HMI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HMI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue17.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA39.3x
PEG Ratio6.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HMI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HMI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
BOSS Hugo Boss
13.6x13.8%€3.5b
MC LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne
26.1x7.9%€395.7b
CDI Christian Dior
21.2xn/a€133.7b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
8.9xn/a€293.3m
HMI Hermès International Société en commandite par actions
57.1x9.4%€246.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.1x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HMI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.1x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HMI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HMI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio57.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HMI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2,301.00
€2,339.58
+1.7%
13.1%€3,000.00€1,480.00n/a19
Apr ’25€2,380.00
€2,208.56
-7.2%
15.2%€3,000.00€1,480.00n/a18
Mar ’25€2,302.50
€2,205.74
-4.2%
16.1%€3,000.00€1,270.00n/a19
Feb ’25€1,984.80
€1,992.40
+0.4%
10.6%€2,318.00€1,270.00n/a20
Jan ’25€1,927.80
€1,965.70
+2.0%
12.2%€2,318.00€1,270.00n/a20
Dec ’24€1,918.00
€1,961.70
+2.3%
12.1%€2,318.00€1,270.00n/a20
Nov ’24€1,764.80
€1,954.10
+10.7%
11.9%€2,318.00€1,270.00n/a20
Oct ’24€1,752.80
€1,998.89
+14.0%
13.0%€2,318.00€1,270.00n/a19
Sep ’24€1,887.00
€2,008.50
+6.4%
13.1%€2,400.00€1,270.00n/a20
Aug ’24€1,998.80
€1,983.84
-0.7%
13.8%€2,400.00€1,270.00n/a19
Jul ’24€1,970.20
€1,918.35
-2.6%
15.7%€2,350.00€990.00n/a20
Jun ’24€1,899.20
€1,880.67
-1.0%
17.7%€2,350.00€990.00n/a21
May ’24€1,958.00
€1,855.96
-5.2%
18.1%€2,350.00€990.00n/a22
Apr ’24€1,872.50
€1,703.09
-9.0%
15.8%€2,100.00€990.00€2,380.0022
Mar ’24€1,733.50
€1,668.64
-3.7%
15.7%€2,048.00€990.00€2,302.5022
Feb ’24€1,693.00
€1,538.68
-9.1%
17.3%€2,000.00€700.00€1,984.8022
Jan ’24€1,479.00
€1,416.73
-4.2%
14.4%€1,667.04€700.00€1,927.8022
Dec ’23€1,535.00
€1,414.18
-7.9%
14.2%€1,667.04€700.00€1,918.0022
Nov ’23€1,319.00
€1,418.44
+7.5%
13.9%€1,645.00€700.00€1,764.8021
Oct ’23€1,204.50
€1,348.36
+11.9%
15.0%€1,600.00€700.00€1,752.8020
Sep ’23€1,257.50
€1,338.90
+6.5%
16.1%€1,667.04€700.00€1,887.0020
Aug ’23€1,351.00
€1,308.31
-3.2%
15.2%€1,600.00€700.00€1,998.8020
Jul ’23€1,050.50
€1,305.33
+24.3%
17.6%€1,624.00€620.00€1,970.2019
Jun ’23€1,109.00
€1,335.22
+20.4%
15.8%€1,624.00€620.00€1,899.2019
May ’23€1,164.50
€1,331.86
+14.4%
15.9%€1,624.00€620.00€1,958.0019
Apr ’23€1,266.50
€1,322.46
+4.4%
15.4%€1,600.00€620.00€1,872.5018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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