Games Workshop Group Valuation

Is G7W undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of G7W when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: G7W (€157.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€101.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: G7W is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for G7W?

Key metric: As G7W is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for G7W. This is calculated by dividing G7W's market cap by their current earnings.
What is G7W's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.3x
EarningsUK£151.10m
Market CapUK£4.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does G7W's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for G7W vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.6x
ZPF Zapf Creation
176.5xn/a€199.4m
PUM PUMA
26x18.6%€6.7b
BOSS Hugo Boss
12.2x13.1%€2.6b
ULC UNITEDLABELS
19.7x26.1%€12.2m
G7W Games Workshop Group
29.3x4.4%€4.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: G7W is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the peer average (58.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does G7W's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
G7W 29.3xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: G7W is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is G7W's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

G7W PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.3x
Fair PE Ratio15.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: G7W is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst G7W forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€157.80
€154.63
-2.0%
5.6%€162.45€142.59n/a3
Nov ’25€142.10
€147.66
+3.9%
4.9%€157.83€141.68n/a3
Oct ’25€130.60
€144.26
+10.5%
2.7%€149.60€140.70n/a3
Sep ’25€123.90
€144.22
+16.4%
2.7%€149.57€140.66n/a3
Aug ’25€121.90
€144.22
+18.3%
2.7%€149.57€140.66n/a3
Jul ’25€125.00
€144.83
+15.9%
3.1%€150.13€139.53n/a4
Jun ’25€116.20
€134.53
+15.8%
14.3%€148.99€101.66n/a4
May ’25€114.70
€134.53
+17.3%
14.3%€148.99€101.66n/a4
Apr ’25€116.00
€134.15
+15.6%
14.3%€148.57€101.38n/a4
Mar ’25€112.00
€133.84
+19.5%
14.3%€148.23€101.15n/a4
Feb ’25€116.00
€133.84
+15.4%
14.3%€148.23€101.15n/a4
Jan ’25€116.00
€133.37
+15.0%
14.3%€147.71€100.79n/a4
Dec ’24€124.00
€131.57
+6.1%
14.3%€145.72€99.43n/a4
Nov ’24€115.00
€132.63
+15.3%
14.0%€145.96€100.78€142.104
Oct ’24€121.00
€131.84
+9.0%
13.6%€145.20€101.06€130.604
Sep ’24€126.00
€132.51
+5.2%
13.6%€145.93€101.57€123.904
Aug ’24€135.00
€132.51
-1.8%
13.6%€145.93€101.57€121.904
Jul ’24€125.00
€122.90
-1.7%
10.5%€134.60€101.83€125.004
Jun ’24€111.00
€113.92
+2.6%
9.8%€128.73€99.11€116.204
May ’24€111.00
€113.92
+2.6%
9.8%€128.73€99.11€114.704
Apr ’24€112.00
€111.50
-0.4%
8.4%€121.94€98.23€116.004
Mar ’24€106.00
€111.50
+5.2%
8.4%€121.94€98.23€112.004
Feb ’24€107.00
€111.50
+4.2%
8.4%€121.94€98.23€116.004
Jan ’24€97.50
€106.68
+9.4%
8.5%€120.45€97.50€116.004
Dec ’23€86.50
€106.68
+23.3%
8.5%€120.45€97.50€124.004
Nov ’23€76.50
€106.68
+39.5%
8.5%€120.45€97.50€115.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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