Orthex Oyj Valuation

Is 4QU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4QU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4QU (€4.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4QU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4QU?

Key metric: As 4QU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4QU. This is calculated by dividing 4QU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4QU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.3x
Earnings€6.42m
Market Cap€91.99m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4QU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4QU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.8x
LEI Leifheit
21.2x15.4%€156.8m
SUR Surteco Group
32.5x22.8%€285.3m
ZPF Zapf Creation
176.5xn/a€199.4m
DIE Dierig Holding
13xn/a€37.7m
4QU Orthex Oyj
14.3x18.6%€92.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4QU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (60.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4QU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4QU 14.3xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4QU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4QU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4QU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4QU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4QU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.98
€6.75
+35.5%
3.7%€7.00€6.50n/a2
Sep ’25€6.10
€7.25
+18.9%
3.4%€7.50€7.00n/a2
Aug ’25€6.24
€7.35
+17.8%
2.0%€7.50€7.20n/a2
Jul ’25€6.80
€7.35
+8.1%
2.0%€7.50€7.20n/a2
Jun ’25€6.66
€7.35
+10.4%
2.0%€7.50€7.20n/a2
May ’25€6.46
€7.30
+13.0%
3.0%€7.50€7.00n/a3
Apr ’25€6.08
€7.30
+20.1%
3.0%€7.50€7.00n/a3
Mar ’25€6.05
€6.73
+11.3%
7.8%€7.20€6.00n/a3
Feb ’25€5.91
€6.57
+11.1%
6.4%€7.00€6.00n/a3
Jan ’25€5.36
€6.07
+13.2%
8.1%€6.70€5.50n/a3
Dec ’24€5.14
€6.07
+18.0%
8.1%€6.70€5.50n/a3
Nov ’24€3.89
€5.63
+45.0%
11.3%€6.50€5.00€5.503
Oct ’24€4.59
€5.63
+22.7%
11.3%€6.50€5.00€5.923
Sep ’24€4.84
€5.83
+20.6%
8.2%€6.50€5.40€6.103
Aug ’24€4.63
€5.90
+27.4%
7.2%€6.50€5.60€6.243
Jul ’24€4.54
€5.90
+30.1%
7.2%€6.50€5.60€6.803
Jun ’24€4.60
€5.90
+28.3%
7.2%€6.50€5.60€6.663
May ’24€4.61
€5.93
+28.7%
5.7%€6.40€5.60€6.463
Apr ’24€4.79
€5.93
+24.0%
5.7%€6.40€5.60€6.083
Mar ’24€5.00
€6.27
+25.5%
8.4%€7.00€5.80€6.053
Feb ’24€5.46
€6.23
+14.2%
7.7%€6.90€5.80€5.913
Jan ’24€4.57
€6.23
+36.4%
7.7%€6.90€5.80€5.363
Dec ’23€5.60
€6.23
+11.3%
7.7%€6.90€5.80€5.143
Nov ’23€4.49
€5.53
+23.2%
14.6%€6.20€4.40€3.893

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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