Surteco Group Valuation

Is SUR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUR (€19.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€31.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUR?

Key metric: As SUR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUR. This is calculated by dividing SUR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio34.6x
Earnings€8.77m
Market Cap€302.36m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.2x
LEI Leifheit
20.7x15.4%€153.1m
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.4x9.2%€724.7m
ZPF Zapf Creation
176.5xn/a€199.4m
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
11.1xn/a€267.1m
SUR Surteco Group
34.6x22.8%€302.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the peer average (55.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SUR 34.6xIndustry Avg. 12.6xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.6x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.60
€25.55
+30.4%
2.2%€26.10€25.00n/a2
Nov ’25€18.10
€25.90
+43.1%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
Oct ’25€15.20
€25.90
+70.4%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
Sep ’25€15.00
€25.90
+72.7%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
Aug ’25€14.30
€25.90
+81.1%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
Jul ’25€15.70
€25.90
+65.0%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
Jun ’25€16.80
€25.90
+54.2%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
May ’25€16.50
€25.90
+57.0%
3.5%€26.80€25.00n/a2
Apr ’25€14.10
€25.75
+82.6%
2.9%€26.50€25.00n/a2
Mar ’25€14.50
€25.75
+77.6%
2.9%€26.50€25.00n/a2
Feb ’25€15.60
€25.75
+65.1%
2.9%€26.50€25.00n/a2
Jan ’25€16.20
€25.75
+59.0%
2.9%€26.50€25.00n/a2
Dec ’24€13.90
€25.75
+85.3%
2.9%€26.50€25.00n/a2
Nov ’24€15.00
€25.75
+71.7%
2.9%€26.50€25.00€18.102
Oct ’24€16.90
€28.25
+67.2%
4.4%€29.50€27.00€15.202
Sep ’24€18.30
€28.25
+54.4%
4.4%€29.50€27.00€15.002
Aug ’24€18.60
€30.25
+62.6%
2.5%€31.00€29.50€14.302
Jul ’24€19.30
€31.85
+65.0%
2.7%€32.70€31.00€15.702
Jun ’24€19.80
€31.85
+60.9%
2.7%€32.70€31.00€16.802
May ’24€19.70
€31.35
+59.1%
4.3%€32.70€30.00€16.502
Apr ’24€19.35
€32.70
+69.0%
8.3%€35.40€30.00€14.102
Mar ’24€19.50
€32.70
+67.7%
8.3%€35.40€30.00€14.502
Feb ’24€20.60
€32.70
+58.7%
8.3%€35.40€30.00€15.602
Jan ’24€19.10
€32.70
+71.2%
8.3%€35.40€30.00€16.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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