Xtep International Holdings Limited

DB:4QI Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.5b

Xtep International Holdings Valuation

Is 4QI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4QI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4QI (€0.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4QI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4QI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4QI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4QI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4QI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
PUM PUMA
21.4x15.0%€6.5b
BOSS Hugo Boss
13.5x13.8%€3.5b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
12.2xn/a€294.9m
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.1x10.0%€608.4m
4QI Xtep International Holdings
11.3x13.5%€12.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4QI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4QI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4QI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4QI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4QI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4QI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4QI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.59
€0.70
+19.0%
13.9%€0.88€0.49n/a24
Apr ’25€0.56
€0.69
+22.7%
15.7%€0.87€0.48n/a24
Mar ’25€0.51
€0.77
+50.7%
28.1%€1.43€0.48n/a22
Feb ’25€0.44
€0.79
+79.6%
30.4%€1.43€0.48n/a22
Jan ’25€0.49
€0.92
+88.7%
23.5%€1.42€0.58n/a23
Dec ’24€0.52
€0.98
+89.1%
18.9%€1.42€0.63n/a23
Nov ’24€0.84
€1.26
+50.5%
11.3%€1.53€0.85n/a23
Oct ’24€0.86
€1.28
+48.0%
10.4%€1.53€0.91n/a23
Sep ’24€0.91
€1.24
+37.2%
10.4%€1.49€0.88n/a23
Aug ’24€0.99
€1.26
+27.0%
7.6%€1.50€1.08n/a23
Jul ’24€0.94
€1.36
+44.2%
6.8%€1.53€1.13n/a22
Jun ’24€0.92
€1.40
+52.6%
5.8%€1.56€1.16n/a21
May ’24€1.06
€1.41
+32.7%
5.9%€1.57€1.17€0.5921
Apr ’24€1.18
€1.36
+15.3%
6.6%€1.52€1.18€0.5620
Mar ’24€1.10
€1.40
+27.6%
10.1%€1.66€1.12€0.5123
Feb ’24€1.22
€1.44
+18.2%
12.8%€1.91€1.13€0.4425
Jan ’24€1.04
€1.41
+35.7%
21.1%€1.90€0.50€0.4924
Dec ’23€1.11
€1.44
+29.5%
21.4%€1.89€0.50€0.5223
Nov ’23€0.97
€1.53
+57.9%
21.5%€1.94€0.52€0.8422
Oct ’23€1.11
€1.81
+63.0%
17.6%€2.13€0.53€0.8621
Sep ’23€1.35
€1.86
+38.1%
18.6%€2.18€0.50€0.9119
Aug ’23€1.58
€1.87
+18.6%
19.2%€2.21€0.50€0.9919
Jul ’23€1.73
€1.66
-4.1%
20.5%€2.08€0.49€0.9418
Jun ’23€1.36
€1.60
+17.7%
20.2%€2.04€0.48€0.9218
May ’23€1.39
€1.64
+18.1%
19.8%€2.03€0.49€1.0619

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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