The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that UNITEDLABELS Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:ULC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for UNITEDLABELS
What Is UNITEDLABELS's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that UNITEDLABELS had €7.30m of debt in September 2022, down from €7.79m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €192.5k, its net debt is less, at about €7.11m.
How Healthy Is UNITEDLABELS' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that UNITEDLABELS had liabilities of €10.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of €9.35m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €192.5k and €2.73m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €17.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of €20.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on UNITEDLABELS' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
UNITEDLABELS shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (24.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.063 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, UNITEDLABELS's EBIT was down 98% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is UNITEDLABELS's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, UNITEDLABELS actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
To be frank both UNITEDLABELS's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that UNITEDLABELS has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for UNITEDLABELS you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:ULC
UNITEDLABELS
Provides branded products for media and entertainment industry in Germany and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.